On this week's What A Shout, host Dave Orton is joined by trainer Jack Channon, the Racing Post’s Paul Kealy and bet365’s Pat Cooney, as they preview the racing from Doncaster and Kempton this weekend, including the Pertemps Network Lincoln.
It is the opening day of the British Flat season on Saturday, with the Pertemps Network Lincoln being the feature race at at 3.35pm. Paul Kealy is taking on the top two horses in the betting with Jimi Hendrix (12/1).
He said: “At the start of last season he looked really good. He won at Haydock, then he finished third in the Britannia, despite being too keen from the end of the field, and he also prevailed at Newmarket in July.
“For me, he has been running against much better company than the two horses at the top of the betting for this race. He doesn’t have heavy ground form, but he did win on soft ground at Doncaster as a juvenile. His trainer Ralph Beckett has also said he thinks he will be much better with cut in the ground.
“Beckett has only ever had one runner in the Lincoln before and that was Mitchum Swagger who finished third as an exposed six-year-old.
“Jim Hendrix comes into this race having been gelded and he showed enough form over the summer to be sent off at single digits for the Golden Mile at Goodwood, despite being drawn 21, and joint-second favourite for the Cambridgeshire.
“There aren’t many Lincolns that have been run on soft ground. That last time was 2018 when only one horse drawn higher than 11 finished in the top seven, so his draw in stall eight could be a good one.”
The Cammidge Trophy Stakes comes at 3.00pm at Doncaster and El Caballo tops the betting here at 9/4 for Karl Burke. Kealy is looking further down the betting at Fast Response, who he believes has an excellent chance here at 9/1 based on her form in 2022.
He said: “She won three of her last four races last season. Her best runs have come on heavy ground at Doncaster where she was successful on both occasions. She won the Wentworth Stakes by two lengths where she had Commanche Falls over seven lengths behind. She is 3lb worse off now, but that is nowhere near enough to make up for that difference if they run the same races again.
“Her owner Nick Bradley said last year that the big target this season will be the Prix de l’Abbaye. That race is in October but there is no reason why they would not have her ready for her first start. If they think she is good enough to feature in a Group One race, this Listed contest should not be a problem for her.”
The class two Queen’s Prize Handicap at 3.15pm is one of the races from that is covered on ITV Racing on Saturday afternoon. There are just six runners in this contest and Kealy believes the favourite, Aztec Empire (6/4), is the horse they will all have to beat.
He said: “Duty Of Care is on a hat-trick and must be respected, but it was hard not to be impressed by Aztec Empire at Kempton last time. I liked how he finished off that race. He looks the most likely winner here and I don’t think he is a bad price to successfully follow up.”
The Magnolia Stakes is a Listed contest that comes over 1m2f on the AW at Kempton at 2.05pm. Secret Stare is the 6/4 favourite in this race, and although Kealy respects the market leader, he thinks the best value lies with Tyrrhenian Sea (6/1).
He said: “Tyrrhenian Sea finished second to Lord North earlier this year at Lingfield and that form took a big boost last week on Dubai World Cup Night. Lord North is a proper Group One horse so his connections will have been delighted with that run.
“Secret State has had one bad run over 1m6f, but his best form has come over shorter distances. I wouldn’t be surprised if he won, but at the prices, I think the best value lies with Tyrrhenian Sea.”