Our resident boxing expert Rob Tebbutt looks ahead to this weekend’s boxing, headlined by Leigh Wood v Mauricio Lara, and tells us where he feels the betting value can be found.
Where else to begin than in Nottingham as Leigh Wood looks to defend his WBA featherweight title against Mauricio Lara in a fight dubbed ‘Dance with the Devil’, and it's easy to see why.
You’ve got two massive punchers who will both be throwing big bombs right from the opening bell!
I really don’t think this fight goes very long – in fact, I don’t think it goes past the halfway mark, which is why the bet I most like in this fight is for it to last ‘Under 5.5 Rounds’ – which is available at 11/10.
If you are backing a side though, then the value has to be with Leigh Wood, who is BOOSTED to 4/1 to win the fight ‘By KO, TKO or Disqualification’ here at bet365.
You can get even better value than that if you believe Wood can get Lara out of there between ‘Rounds 1 - 6’, with that priced up at a massive 9/1, whilst if you are fancying the Mexican after his destructive performances, you can get 3/1 on him to win within four rounds.
Under 5.5 Rounds
Elsewhere on the undercard in Nottingham, Dalton Smith puts his British super-lightweight title on the line against Billy Allington.
This is a fight that I expect Dalton Smith to win, and to win well!
He is one of the best prospects in British boxing – one of the best prospects in world boxing and I see him winning this one quickly.
I expect him to have too much firepower, too much skill and too much pedigree for Billy Allington and I am looking at him to win this fight between ‘Rounds 1 - 4’, which you can get at the BOOSTED odds of 7/5.
If you fancy him getting the job done even earlier, between ‘Rounds 1 – 3’ then you can back that at 2/1.
Round Group Betting (3):
Dalton Smith - ‘Rounds 1 - 4’
Lastly in Nottingham we see the return of Kieron Conway against Jorge Silva.
Conway – at 154-pounds, 160-pounds – he has been in that mix for the last few years now, and the last time we saw him in action was against Ammo Williams in Las Vegas where he came up a little short.
But I expect him to bounce back and win well this Saturday. He is very slick, a good mover and a well-schooled fighter, albeit not the biggest puncher.
Jorge Silva has been stopped at an admittedly lower level than Kieron Conway, but I expect Conway to feel his way into the fight and ultimate prevail via a decision victory at 5/4.
Kieron Conway ‘By Decision or Technical Decision’
Why not form a Treble with each of Rob Tebbutt’s Nottingham card selections:
Leigh Wood v Mauricio Lara (Total Rounds - Under 5.5)
Dalton Smith v Billy Allington (Round Group Betting 3 - Dalton Smith ‘Rounds 1 – 4’)
Kieron Conway v Jorge Silva (Kieron Conway ‘By Decision or Technical Decision’)
Finally, we head stateside for Luis Nery v Azat Hovhannisyan in a super-bantamweight WBC title eliminator.
This is a fight I expect to be all-action from the first bell onwards. Luis Nery and Azat Hovhannisyan are both good punchers, but I am leaning towards Nery, who is the more talented and heavier puncher.
I am looking at him to win ‘By Stoppage’ at 21/10, although if you see the odds and the Rounds 1-6 – then Nery at 17/2 to win inside the first six rounds is very strong.
Both fighters will come and give plenty of opportunities, but I am not sure that Hovhannisyan at 34 years of age will be able to stand up to Nery’s power.
The bet that I really like the look of in this fight though is for it to ‘Not to Go the Distance’, which is priced up at 8/11.
These two guys let their shots go, they are both big punchers and will both give opportunities to each other, and I just don’t see it going the distance.
Fight to Go the Distance - No
Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.