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Ian Vickers
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  2. Boxing Betting Tips

Weekend Boxing Tips: Vickers’ Verdict - Fury v Chisora & Estrada v Chocolatito

bet365’s boxing compiler Ian Vickers gives us an insight as to where the value may be found across this weekend’s fighting action.
 

Tyson Fury (1/20) v Derek Chisora
WBC Heavyweight title
Saturday 3rd December (22:00)

I’ll be honest, this isn’t a fight I am too enamoured about – they are two big pals, and Tyson Fury, in my opinion, is giving Derek Chisora a good pay day. Is this a contest? Not for me; there is only going to be one winner here!

But look, in terms of the fight and how it will likely pan out, for me, it has all the makings of a late stoppage victory for Fury, who isn’t going to want to go in there and totally embarrass his pal, who let’s not forget is a tough, tough lad.

Derek has the heart of a lion, has a good engine, although he does start to tire late on now, and that again, will be to his detriment, as I foresee Tyson getting the win courtesy of a late stoppage or knockout.

I was at the Fury v Dillian Whyte bout earlier in the year, and up until the knockout, it was an absolute snore fest. Dillian just stood of him and let Tyson jab his head off, but Derek Chisora won’t do that, he will get in close, close the gaps and look to smother him.

Despite that though, Tyson will get through to him and put an end to the contest, but I don’t think it will be anywhere near as early as a lot of people are predicting. 

I’d be looking at a late stoppage, either between rounds 7 - 12 at 9/2 or 9 - 12, which is priced at 11/2.

Another angle I like the look of is the Total Knockdown market – I don’t envisage there being too many knockdowns at all. Derek is a tough cookie, rarely gets knocked out cold, and Tyson, I just don’t see how he gets put down in this one either. 

If Derek looks to be in trouble at any point, then I wouldn’t be surprised to see the referee come to his aid and wave the fight off – so the ‘Under 1.5’ knockdowns, at 4/5. Carries plenty of appeal.

View all Fury v Chisora 3 markets
 

Juan Estrada (39/20) v Roman ‘Chocolatito’ Gonzalez (2/5)
WBC Super-Flyweight title
Sunday 4th December (04:00)

People this side of the pond are talking about the Fury fight this weekend, but Stateside there is probably one of the fights of the year taking place; the trilogy bout between Juan Estrada v Chocolatito.

This is a cracker, and if the first two dust-ups are anything to go by, then this will follow suit, and be another top, top level contest. Look, I’ll be getting up for this one definitely.

Chocolatito certainly won the second fight by some way, it wasn’t even close for me. Estrada got the split decision though, and robbed Chocolatito of the win that I feel he deserved. 

Estrada in his last fight left a lot to be desired, and won a tight contest, but he won’t get the win this time. Chocolatito, who in real terms for me is 1/3 / 2/7 shot, will definitely have the beating of Estrada this time, and will likely get the job done on points again.

These two have had about 110 fights between them and only once have each of them been stopped – so for me, this goes to points and Chocolatito wins it by unanimous decision (20/21).

View all Estrada v Chocolatito markets
 

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