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US Presidential Election Odds

We have the latest odds for the US presidential election with just days to go until the nations heads to the polls.

US presidential election odds

Politics

Although Harris's price steadily shortened after Joe Biden confirmed he would pull out of the race, Trump is now favourite with Harris drifting to odds-against.

Popular vote winner odds

While the election remains on a knife-edge, it is the Democrats who are expected to win the popular vote, priced at 1/2, to the Republicans at 13/8, giving an implied probability of 66.7% for the Democrats and 38.1% for the Republicans.

Only once in the last eight presidential elections - 2004 - have the Republicans won more votes than the Democrats, but the electoral college system is where the election will be won and lost.

While both parties will almost certainly clear 200 electoral college votes, 270 are required to win, and while there are a number of marginal states, it's extremely unlikely either Trump or Harris will win the election without winning Pennsylvania, while Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina make up the remaining swing states.

US election markets

We have a wide range of markets on the US election, including:

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