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US Presidential Election Odds: Joe Biden odds-against to be Democratic presidential nominee

Joe Biden has confirmed he will run for president in 2024, following speculation he may pull out of the race, but is out to 6/4 to be the Democratic nominee after the latest gaffe in which he referred to Volodymyr Zelenskyy as 'President Putin'.

After the first TV debate, widespread speculation surrounded the president's future, with reports that senior figures within the Democratic party would urge Biden to step down.

In the following days, however, former president Barack Obama posted his support for his former vice president on X, with Biden himself posting on Friday 5th July: "Let me say this as clearly as I can: I’m the sitting President of the United States. I’m the nominee of the Democratic party. I’m staying in the race."

Despite Biden's insistence on running, and the unwavering support from some Democratic voters, the nature of the TV debate and some of the stories that have followed have seen Kamala Harris overtake Biden in the betting.

US Presidential Election: Democratic nominee odds

The day after the debate, Biden gave a much improved performance, saying at a speech: "I know I'm not a young man, [to] state the obvious... I don't walk as easy as I used to, I don't speak as smoothly as I used to. I don't debate as well as I used to. But I know what I do know - I know how to tell the truth. I know like millions of American know - when you get knocked down, you get back up."

But concerns linger. Alex Thompson, political correspondent at Axios, posted on X: "From 10am to 4pm, Biden is dependably engaged... outside of that time range or while traveling abroad, the other Biden is more likely to emerge and have verbal miscues and become fatigued, aides say."

More recently, Biden in a radio interview said: "By the way, I'm proud to be, as I said, the first vice president, first black woman... to serve with a black president," seemingly mixing up his position as vice president under Obama and Kamala Harris, his current vice president.

The latest gaffe came on Thursday evening, when introducing the Ukrainian president as 'President Putin' before correcting himself. Biden then went on to say "Look I wouldn't have picked Vice-President Trump to be vice-president if she was not qualified to be president," confusing his presidential rival Donald Trump with his current vice-president Harris.

Of course, voters in America aren't just voting for who they want to be the president on Tuesday 5th November; they're voting for who they want to be the president for four years after, and the fact that Biden would then be 86 by the time he left office will likely be weighing increasingly heavily on people's minds ahead of polling day.

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