UK General Election Party Total Seats Odds: Landslide Labour victory predicted ahead of first TV debate

According to YouGov's first major poll of the 2024 UK General Election campaign, Labour could surpass Tony Blair's landslide victory in 1997.

The YouGov forecast predicts Labour will win a total of 422 seats, representing a massive majority of 194.

This would leave the Conservatives with just 140 seats, marking their biggest electoral defeat since 1906.

This polled data arrives on the eve of the first TV debate in the run-up to the General Election between Conservative leader Rishi Sunak and Labour leader Keir Starmer.

Conservatives Total Seats Odds

• 49 or less - 11/2
• 50 - 99 seats - 13/8
• 100 - 149 seats - 7/4
• 150 - 199 seats - 9/2
• 200 - 249 seats - 16/1
• 250 - 299 seats - 33/1
• 300 - 349 seats - 80/1
• 350 - 399 seats - 200/1
• 400 seats or more - 500/1
  
  

Labour Total Seats Odds

• 149 seats or less - 500/1
• 150 - 199 seats - 150/1
• 200 - 249 seats - 80/1
• 250 - 299 seats - 28/1
• 300 - 349 seats - 8/1
• 350 - 399 seats - 10/3
• 400 - 449 seats - 13/8
• 450 - 499 seats - 15/8
• 500 seats or more - 14/1
  
  

All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.