Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Taylor Fritz takes on Jack Draper for a place in the third round of the Olympic Tennis Men’s singles on Tuesday with the American favoured to progress because of his higher ranking and better record on clay.

Fritz, who is the number seven seed at, is currently the 12th-ranked male player in the world with Draper coming into this clash as the world number 27.

The American has won 14 of his 20 matches on the red dirt this year while Draper’s record on the surface in 2024 is only 5-6.

The British number one also lost a tight tussle to Fritz on clay earlier this summer after taking the first set.

This will be the duo's third meeting since 2022, with the winner going on to play either Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti or Argentina’s Mariano Navone in the last 16.

Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper betting tips and predictions

Jack Draper to win a set - 8/13

It’s easy to see why Draper is the underdog here, but the Briton is not without a chance of beating Fritz given how closely fought their early summer meeting in Munich was.

Draper broke early in the first set and held his nerve to take the opener 6-4 before Fritz got his nose in front in game four of the second set to level the match.

Then, after the duo held serve for 12 consecutive games in the decider, Fritz eventually ran away with the tie-break 7-1 to book his place in the semi-finals of the event. 

The post-match stats show the Briton won only marginally fewer points on both first and second serve while he actually created six more break-point chances than Fritz.

The difference between them on the day was how they played on those key break points with Fritz saving six of the seven he faced and converting his only opportunity on the Draper serve.

If Tuesday’s match plays out in a similar fashion, it should be just as close and the result will depend on which man takes command in those key moments.

Draper made a fast start against Nishikori on Sunday and his best chance of winning this contest will be to get on top and dictate terms to Fritz.

Unlike the American, who is due to play in the men’s doubles on Monday and team up with Coco Gauff in the mixed Olympic event later in the Games, Draper is fully focused on the singles.

He should be a little bit fresher than his opponent on Tuesday and can at least take a set in the contest.

Only eight of Fritz’s 14 wins on clay in 2024 were in straight sets while less than half of Draper’s matches on the surface this year did not go beyond two sets. 

Taylor Fritz 2+ Double Faults - 1/1

Fritz has generally been serving well of late, although he has been prone to a few double faults along the way.

The American sent down 300 aces and 109 double faults in 35 matches before the Olympics, averaging just under three doubles per contest.

He quickly found his service rhythm early in Saturday’s first-round clash with Bublik, which was played under the roof on court Phillippe-Chatrier because of inclement weather, posting 12 aces and only one double. 

But Tuesday’s clash against Draper will be out in the open where wind can play havoc with a server’s timing and players often have to abort a serve because they have been blinded by the sun.

Fritz coughed up at least two double faults in all four of his matches at this year’s French Open, a statistic that offers further encouragement to back the American to serve two or more on Tuesday.

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Taylor Fritz v Jack Draper odds

Fritz - 2/5
Draper - 2/1

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.