Qatar Open: Prediction, Tips and Odds

The Qatar Open has been an Iga Swiatek beneficiary in recent seasons, with the Polish star landing the title in three consecutive seasons, but there are plenty of dangers to her supremacy this year.

The surface in Doha is considered slow by hard court standards which is why Swiatek, a four-time French Open champion, has performed so superbly in the capital of Qatar.

This is the first WTA 1000 event of the season and the second biggest tournament of 2025 to date after the Australian Open, so motivation levels will be at a maximum for the whole of the WTA Tour.

That includes world number one Aryna Sabalenka, who will be determined to go one better than when runner-up to Madison Keys in the first Grand Slam of the season at Melbourne Park.

Keys is one of the high-profile absentees from Doha but the field is stacked with talent including Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, Qinwen Zheng, Mirra Andreeva, Paula Badoa and Jessica Pegula.

Qatar Open betting tips and predictions

Iga Swiatek to win Qatar Open - 15/4

There were plenty of positives to take from Swiatek in her exploits at last month’s Australian Open, where she equalled her best ever effort at Melbourne Park with a run to the semi-final.

Swiatek had won her opening five matches in straight sets before running into an inspired performance from eventual champion Keys, who came from a set behind to win an epic tiebreak.

That form doesn’t look too shabby given Keys went on to stop world number one Sabalenka in the final and, with these conditions likely to play a little slower, she could be tough to beat.

Swiatek has won this tournament in three straight seasons and if anything her form coming into this year’s event looks to be at a higher level.

The second seed avoids Sabalenka and Gauff until the final, which looks to be a key factor, and on current form she should have little to fear from potential quarter-final rivals Rybakina, who she downed 7-6 6-2 in last year’s final.

Rybakina crashed out in the fourth round of the Australian Open, also going down to Keys, but she was then beaten in the semi-final of the Abu Dhabi Open by Belinda Bencic.

Given all of Rybakina’s three matches in Abu Dhabi against Katie Volynets, Ons Jabeur and Rybakina went to a deciding set, she is clearly below peak level.

In the semi-final Swiatek could meet Jasmine Paolini or Zheng, but it is hard to see how either would be able to live with the potent Pole under what appears to be optimum conditions.

Paula Badosa each-way - 28/1

Sabalenka has opted to miss this event in the last two years having won the Australian Open prior but she makes a return, which adds extra intrigue to Swiatek’s title defence.

However, the Belarusian was outclassed by Swiatek in a 6-2 6-3 defeat in the quarter-final here in 2022 and she won’t be able to exploit her power-packed approach as easily on a heavier court.

Therefore, she could be a vulnerable favourite and it may be worth taking her on in the top half of the draw, with the rejuvenated Paula Badosa a fascinating contender.

Badosa is back up to world number ten and, having formerly made a French Open quarter-final, she should have no problem dealing with conditions however they end up.

The Spaniard is fancied to make the quarter-final at Emma Navarro’s expense and, while third seed Gauff could be waiting there, she was a second-round casualty last year and has failed to go past the last eight in Doha.

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Qatar Open odds

Aryna Sabalenka - 11/4
Iga Swiatek - 15/4
Coco Gauff - 11/2
Elena Rybakina - 8/1
Qinwen Zheng - 14/1
Mirra Andreeva - 25/1
Paula Badosa - 28/1

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.