Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

Cameron Norrie, the last Briton standing in the men’s singles, faces qualifier Nicolas Jarry in the only fourth-round match not to feature a seeded player on Sunday.

This year’s Wimbledon has been a graveyard for fancied players and Norrie has enjoyed flying under the radar as a dangerous floater in the draw so far.

The former world number eight overcame Roberto Bautista-Agut, a former semi-finalist at SW19, in four sets to grab his first win on grass this year in the opening round.

He battled back from a set down to knock 12th seed Francis Tiafoe out in round two and produced his most complete performance of the lot to send Mattia Bellucci packing on Friday.

Next up for the 29-year-old will be Jarry, who has been hindered for the best part of a year by a nerve disorder in his ear.

The South American’s results have suffered and he dropped from 16th in the world last summer to No.143 last month.

But three efficient victories in qualifying suggested his game was in good order and the big-serving Chilean blasted 31 aces to eliminate eighth seed Holger Rune in round one.

He took care of Learner Tien in three easy sets in round two before rising to meet the challenge of Brazilian teenager Joao Fonseca to record a 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6 win on a raucous No.2 Court.

The pair have met twice before, splitting their head-to-head 1-1, though their last meeting was back in 2019. 

Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Cameron Norrie	8/11
Best Bet	Nicolas Jarry +1.5 Match Handicap (Games)	4/5
Bet Builder	Nicolas Jarry to win, Over 8.5 Games in Set 1 & Cameron Norrie will Make the First Break of Serve	6/1

Key Match Stats

• Only Taylor Fritz (73) has served more aces than Jarry (65) through the first five days of play at Wimbledon 2025
• Only Carlos Alcaraz (18) has won more break points than Norrie (15)
• Jarry has served 17 double faults across the first three rounds while Norrie has double faulted 10 times
• Jarry has won a higher ratio of tour-level grass court matches (53%) than Norrie (49%)
• Norrie has won six of his last seven five-set matches
• Jarry had lost in his last six first-round matches at Grand Slams before Wimbledon 2025

Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Best Bet: Nicolas Jarry +1.5 Match Handicap (Games) @ 4/5

Although Jarry’s best results have come on clay, he has shown he can trouble top players on grass.

If Norrie gets his wish to play on No.1 Court again, that could also suit Jarry because it has been playing slower than Centre Court.

The Briton will receive superb backing in this clash, wherever it is played, but he may lack answers on the Chilean’s big first serve.

The left-hander has been solid on his own serve, winning around 70% of points on first and 50% on second across his three matches.

But Jarry has won close to 80% of his points on first serve and over 60% on second, which would give him an edge if those statistics were repeated.

Simon Barlow says:

Jarry’s impressive demolition of highly-rated Fonseca in round three suggests he can win this match or at the very least ensure it remains very close throughout. He thrived in a raucous atmosphere on No.2 Court, which was packed with noisy fans of the Brazilian, and should handle Norrie's home crowd too.

Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie Bet Builder Tip

• Nicolas Jarry to Win
• Over 8.5 Games in Set 1
• Cameron Norrie will Make the First Break of Serve
  
  Pays: 6/1

Jarry has the weapons to put Norrie on the back foot in this clash, although he will have to contend with plenty of sliced backhands to his forehand. 

The Briton could make some early inroads on Jarry’s serve, which took some time to click into gear against Rune.

The Chilean also had to fight off three break points early in the first set against Fonseca, which may leave him vulnerable to losing his serve first against Norrie if he stars slowly on Sunday.

Five of the six sets these two men have played against each other have featured at least nine games and that looks like a worthwhile addition to Bet Builders.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Jarry’s wins over Rune and Fonseca, although they are known for their clay-court prowess, may be worth more respect at this year’s Wimbledon, where the courts are playing slower,

adds Simon Barlow.

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site.

Tactics and Form

Jarry relies on a huge first serve and forehand, but can be vulnerable on second serve and under pressure. 

His serve speed has been recorded at 140 mph at this year’s Wimbledon and he produced a second-serve ace at a crucial point in his third-round win over Fonseca, showing huge bravery.

But the Chilean has a high double fault rate too, and averages six per match in five-setters over the past year.

Norrie uses his lefty angles, particularly a sliced backhand to right-handers, and ability to construct points from the back of the court to frustrate opponents. 

The British number three has shown resilience in five-setters and is thriving with the home crowd’s backing.

He has only been beaten once on No 1 Court and has expressed a preference for his matches to be played there after previous victories against Jack Draper, David Goffin and Tommy Paul.

View the full market and more odds for Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.