Madrid Open: Prediction, Tips and Odds

The clay-court season continues this week with the third WTA and ATP 1000 combined event of the year - the Madrid Open.

The event is one of the most prestigious on the tennis calendar and in the men's draw, Carlos Alcaraz is looking to make history by becoming the first player to win the ATP Madrid Open three years running.

Last year Alcaraz made it back-to-back titles in his home country with victory over Jan-Lennard Struff but, even with the withdrawal of Novak Djokovic, there are plenty of players looking to dethrone the champion in Madrid.

Madrid Open betting tips and predictions

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win the title - 12/1

Alcaraz is the obvious candidate to win this year's Madrid Open. The 20-year-old looks right at home in the competition and is the two-time defending champion.

But this will be his first European clay-court tournament of 2024 with an injury to his right arm having kept the Spaniard out of both the Monte-Carlo Masters and the Barcelona Open.

That time away from the court may not do Alcaraz the world of good and his draw is not straightforward either, with Struff, last year's runner-up, a potential opponent in the fourth round and either Holger Rune or Andrey Rublev likely to await him in the quarter-finals.

Instead, punters should look further down the betting and Stefanos Tsitsipas could be a great pick.

A former French Open finalist, the 25-year-old can be a real danger on the clay courts and he heads into the Madrid Open in great form.

The Greek ace was crowned Monte-Carlo Masters champion earlier this month, becoming only the second player this season to beat Jannik Sinner en route.

And Tsitsipas followed that with a run to the final of the Barcelona Open last week, that time losing out to Casper Ruud in the final.

He has nonetheless won 10 of his 11 matches on the slower surface this season and he could be a shrewd pick to win the Madrid Open, having made the final back in 2019.

Tsitsipas avoids Alcaraz in his half of the draw and is worth consideration.

Casper Ruud to win the title - 16/1

Along with Tsitsipas, the other player to have reached the finals of both the Monte-Carlo Masters and Barcelona Open this month is Casper Ruud.

And like his Greek counterpart, Ruud also has the advantage of having been stationed in the other half of the draw to two-time defending champion Alcaraz.

The Norwegian claimed his first ever ATP 500 title at the Barcelona Open against Tsitsipas and, while following it with an ATP 1000 title could be a tall order, he will be full of confidence and is a dark horse.

Ruud is a three-time Grand Slam runner-up, having twice made the final of the French Open on clay in each of the last two seasons.

He is enjoying a pretty strong campaign this year, winning 29 of his 36 matches across all competitions and surfaces, while his clay-court record reads an impressive 11-2 in 2024.

He was a semi-finalist at the Madrid Open Men's in 2021 and he has already shown he knows how to edge Tsitsipas on this surface on his day.

The tournament fifth seed has a relatively soft draw and, given his recent form, he could capitalise.

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Madrid Open odds

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.