Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

Jack Draper is a heavy favourite to start his Wimbledon title tilt with a victory so one or two other markets will have to be taken into consideration.

The 2/9 about Draper triumphing in straight sets isn’t actually the worst price in the world, even allowing for the possibility that Baez might be capable of lengthening at least one.

But Draper, who is likely to be focused, has a job to do on Tuesday with his country and the world watching and the Surrey native should post a pretty bloodless win over his lower-ranked opponent.

Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Jack Draper	1/200
Best Bet	J Draper to win under 18.5 games	4/6
Bet Builder	J Draper to win 3-0, J Draper under 18.5 match games won, S Baez not to break serve in first set, J Draper 5+ total aces	23/20

Key Match Stats

• Sebastian Baez has won only one main-draw match at Wimbledon in his career, in 2022 when he beat Taro Daniel in straight sets
• Jack Draper has reached at least the last 16 of the last three Grand Slam tournaments held - he made the semi-finals in the US Open
• Draper has won all four previous sets he has contested against Baez - winning 6-3 7-5 at Monte Carlo Masters in 2023 and 6-1 6-3 on an Adelaide hard court early last year
• Draper as a grass-court title to his name after winning in Stuttgart last year
• Of 13 matches played on grass in his career, Baez has won only three

Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez Prediction

Best Bet: Jack Draper to win under 18.5 match games @ 4/6 

The obvious bets might seem to be the over/under 27.5 games contested, but they are something of a toss-up for punters, who might find greater control in an interest on Draper winning no more than 18 games in total in his first-round outing.

The crucial factor in this one is him not needing a tiebreak or any set to still be level after 10 games, otherwise it will be a loser.

But it can only be deemed a positive that Draper beat serial clay title winner Baez in straight sets in their first career meeting on the slow red courts at the Monte Carlo Masters.

And then Draper took the Argentinian apart in Adelaide early last year when triumphing 6-1 6-3 on a hard court down under.

Of the two surfaces, the hard courts are more like the nippy grass when it comes to speed, and considering Baez has been known to lose interest when trailing badly in matches, Draper looks to have every chance to inflict further punishment on his opponent in London.

Adrian Humphries explains:

With Draper leading 2-0 in his personal series with Baez and having won all four sets the pair have contested, punters could well be looking at more of the same at Wimbledon this year.

Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez Bet Builder Tip

• Jack Draper to win 3-0
• Draper under 18.5 match games won
• Sebastian Baez not to break serve in first set
• 5+ Aces for J Draper
  
  Pays 23/20

Backing Draper to win and keep the number seven off his scoreline is the focus of this Bet Builder, and punters can add a 3-0 correct-score win for the favourite into the equation.

Including an over/under bets on the total games being contested at, for example, 27.5, adds a high degree of uncertainty to the Bet Builder, so for the third part of the punt, including outsider Baez not to break serve in the first set seems reasonable.

While Baez will do well to win five games in any set, there is genuine potential for this clash to be one-sided. The 6ft 4in Draper is one of the physically stronger players currently competing on the ATP Tour and can use that to his advantage, particularly on serve with the Briton firing down at least eight in every game he played at Queen's.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Adrian Humphries adds:

Physically, Draper and Baez could hardly be more different. Draper, at 6ft 4in, is one of the sport’s most powerful players which could easily have a devastating impact on the fastest surface.

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site.

Tactics and Form

Draper’s form in the majors is difficult to knock. Since reaching the last four of the US Open last September, he has made the last 16 of the Australian and French Opens in 2025.

The Sutton ace, who made the semi-finals at Queen's Club recently, will obviously be hoping to improve on those Melbourne and Paris placings in the seasons to come and that doesn’t look in doubt.

But having failed to make it past round two in three of his last four competitive visits to Wimbledon, Draper will be looking for a sizeable improvement in his home Slam.

In the wake of his brilliant Indian Wells Masters victory, however, it would rank as a big disappointment should he fail to reach at least the fourth round in London this year.

As for Baez, he has not won a match of note since Barcelona in April and he goes to the grass Slam having had no important run-outs on the terrain.

View the full market and more odds for Jack Draper vs Sebastian Baez on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.