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Jack Draper v Cameron Norrie: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Jack Draper will attempt to beat Cameron Norrie for the first time when the British numbers one and two meet in the second round of Wimbledon on Thursday,

Draper rose above Norrie in the world rankings when he won the Stuttgart Open just over a fortnight ago, with the former Wimbledon semi-finalist losing the British number one status he had held since October 2021.

But the 22-year-old from Surrey has lost both of his previous encounters with Norrie and will be attempting to get past the second round at the All England Club for the first time in his career.

Jack Draper v Cameron Norrie

Jack Draper v Cameron Norrie betting tips and predictions

Cameron Norrie - First Set Winner - 6/4

While Norrie eased through his first-round clash against Argentinian clay-courter Facundo Diaz Acosta without dropping a set, Draper struggled to get past qualifier Elias Ymer.

The Swede broke his serve five times in total, including twice in the first set as Draper’s recent habit of starting slowly left him with an early deficit.

The Briton went a set down to Tommy Paul in the quarter-final at Queen’s Club late last month and was twice forced to come from behind during his victorious run in Stuttgart.

Perhaps nerves were at play in some of those matches because Draper never trailed when ending Carlos Alcaraz’s defence of the Queen’s Club title when all the expectation was that the reigning Wimbledon champion would win.

And the 22-year-old’s previous Grand Slam record also suggests he tends to do things the hard way.

Draper has fallen behind in his last five matches at the majors, so it would be no surprise to see Norrie jump out to an early lead in this one.

The 28-year-old has had a tough time of late and has not beaten any higher-ranked player since defeating 11th seed Casper Ruud at the Australian Open in January.

But Norrie seemed pleased with how he finished off Diaz Acosta in the fading light on Tuesday, stating that he was “moving well” and “hitting my spots on the serve”.

Cameron Norrie to win - 11/5

The similarities between Draper and Norrie extend beyond the country they represent and the fact that they have both been coached by James Trotman. 

Both men are lefties, despite being dominant with their right hands for everything else, with left-handed serves being particularly advantageous on the key points.

That is because they can serve out wide when on the ad side of the court to swing the ball to the backhand of a right-hander.

However, not all left-handers fare well when they face a mirror image of themselves and that is probably true for Draper right now.

His record against left-handers on tour is a dismal 4-6 (40%), while Norrie’s win ratio is actually better against left-handers (63%) than against right-handers (57%).

It’s also interesting to note from their two previous head-to-head meetings, which were both won in straight sets by Norrie, that Draper could not convert many of his break point opportunities.

Norrie saved 12 of the 13 break points he faced across the two contests, while Draper only saved three of the eight when his serve came under pressure.

The British number two’s ability to get out of such situations could be a key factor in Thursday’s match-up and, until Draper demonstrates a better method for dealing with lefty serves from the ad court, it seems sensible to back the more experienced man to come through this contest.

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Jack Draper v Cameron Norrie odds

Jack Draper - 4/11
Cameron Norrie -

View the full market and more odds for Jack Draper v Cameron Norrie on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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