Having suffered defeat in three Grand Slam finals, including the 2024 French Open title decider to Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev may not get a finer opportunity to break his major hoodoo and the Racing Post's Aaron Ashley expects the German world number three to deliver the goods.
Zverev has long been touted as a future Grand Slam champion but, now 29 years of age, it has taken longer than was anticipated to get his head in front in a showpiece event.
The German’s first Grand Slam final came at the 2020 US Open, where he lost in a five-set epic to Dominic Thiem, and that was also the scenario against Alcaraz at the French Open two years ago.
Zverev’s third Grand Slam final appearance came at last season’s Australian Open, where he fell victim to Jannik Sinner, and he will be desperate to make amends against Flavio Cobolli in his second French Open final.
While Zverev has plenty of experience at the backend of Grand Slam’s and is a 24-time winner on the ATP Tour, Cobolli is still working his way up the rankings and is preparing for his maiden major final.
The Italian has won three titles on the ATP Tour but they have been at ATP 500 level and below, so this represents the biggest match of his career to date.
The world number 14 enjoyed a walkover in his semi-final after compatriot Matteo Arnaldi was forced to withdraw but Zverev has dropped only two sets on his way to the final and will be a tough nut to crack.
Best Bet - Alexander Zverev to win & over 35.5 games @ 13/10
Alternative Bet - Alexander Zverev - Over 9.5 Aces @ 5/6
Bet Builder - Alexander Zverev to win, 10+ aces for Alexander Zverev & 5+ double faults for Flavio Cobolli @ 5/1
Best Bet: Alexander Zverev to win & over 35.5 games @ 13/10
This is an opportunity that Zverev won’t want to let pass him by as there won’t be many, if any, Grand Slam finals in the near future that he contests without locking horns with Alcaraz or Sinner.
This is the first Grand Slam final since the 2023 US Open that hasn’t featured Alcaraz or Sinner and Zverev, bidding to win a major final for the first time at the fourth attempt, knows that this is his chance.
That adds pressure but Cobolli is making his Grand Slam final debut and he has profited from a soft draw, with his only two seeded scalps being Learner Tien and Felix Auger-Aliassime, a pair of players better under quicker conditions.
Cobolli does have a strong clay-court game and that was evident when he defeated Zverev 6-3 6-3 in the semi-final in Munich in April, a win that should provide him with hope.
However, Zverev reversed that form in style in Madrid just two weeks later, recording a 6-1 6-4 quarter-final victory, and he can follow up in a competitive final at Roland Garros.
Alternative Bet: Alexander Zverev - Over 9.5 Aces @ 5/6
Zverev’s quarter-final win over Cobolli in Madrid saw the German utilise his big serve and he compiled 12 aces.
That was only a two-set contest so, with the possibility of this going four or five, the second seed should be able to reach double figures.
Zverev has had 49 aces across his six tournament wins and that is a weapon he will be looking to make the most of.
Zverev has won three of his four previous meetings with Cobolli, which includes their latest rivalry on clay in Madrid in April, and his past experiences in Grand Slam finals should stand him in good stead.
The German has been serving exceptionally well through the tournament and can hit 10 aces, having made 12 in his last victory over Cobolli, which was a two-set contest.
But Zverev’s ability to hold serve quickly will put pressure on the inexperienced Italian, who made four double faults in defeat to the German in Madrid recently. A longer clash should see that total surpassed.
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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