Facundo Diaz Acosta v Jack Draper: Prediction, Tips and Odds

There are three British players in action on day four of the US Open and Jack Draper has comfortably the best chance of progressing to the third round, at the expense of Argentina's Facundo Diaz Acosta.

Draper rose to a career-high 25th in the world with his run to the quarter-finals of the ATP Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati and, with his injury troubles hopefully behind him, there is scope for the left-hander to make a deep run in a Grand Slam in the near future.

The 22-year-old is just 1/14 to defeat 8/1 shot Diaz Acosta, with a victory likely to lead to a third-round clash with reigning French Open and Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz.

Facundo Diaz Acosta v Jack Draper betting tips and predictions

Jack Draper to win and under 31.5 games - 1/1

Draper's run to the Cincinnati quarter-finals was marred by a controversial moment in his last-16 victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime, but the Brit was relieved to get back down to business with a dominant US Open first-round display against Zhizhen Zhang.

Draper led 6-3 6-0 4-0 when Zhang was forced to retire from the match with a knee injury, which does make the performance difficult to put into context.

However, the manner of the victory did at least confirm Draper's liking for Flushing Meadows, a venue where he produced his best Grand Slam performance when reaching the fourth round last year, so it's no surprise to see him chalked up as a strong favourite for his first clash with Diaz Acosta.

The Argentinian also enjoyed a smooth passage to the second round, beating Hugo Gaston 6-1 6-4 6-2 as a slight underdog, although he was facing an opponent who had not won a main draw hardcourt match since February.

Diaz Acosta has a similarly poor record on this surface - his last win prior to the US Open came in the Adelaide qualifiers in January - and a meeting with Draper will provide him with a much tougher task.

The Brit is just 8/11 to win in straight sets, which makes some appeal, although there could be slightly better value in backing him at 1/1 to win a match which features fewer than 32 games.

Draper did it the hard way in Cincinnati, going to three sets in victories over Jaume Munar, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime, and the Briton still has a habit of becoming embroiled in protracted battles.

However, Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime are far more talented than Diaz Acosta, particularly on this surface, and there is every chance that the favourite, who is a terrific returner, completes the win with the minimum of fuss.

Jack Draper over 5.5 breaks of serve - 5/4

Draper is ranked as the 10th best returner on the ATP Tour, but he rises to second, behind only Alex de Minaur, on hardcourts and his ability to put the server under pressure points towards a bet on him to break Diaz Acosta's serve on at least six occasions.

Diaz Acosta suffered just one break of serve in his win over Gaston, but a 60% first-serve percentage was actually below his season's average (64.4%), which suggests the scoreline was due, at least in part, to the Frenchman's dismal performance.

Faced with an opponent of Draper's ability, Diaz Acosta could find it far more difficult to earn cheap points behind his serve. Expect him to be broken on several occasions.

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Facundo Diaz Acosta v Jack Draper odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - 8/1
Jack Draper - 1/14

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.