ATP Indian Wells Open: Free Tips, Prediction and Odds

With Jannik Sinner absent, Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite to make it three successive titles at the Indian Wells Open.

The Spaniard has taken the title in back-to-back years, defeating Daniil Medvedev in the final on both occasions and he will have high hopes of joining greats Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer as the only players to prevail in the tournament in three consecutive seasons.

However, Alcaraz could collide with Djokovic in what would be a blockbuster quarter-final so would need to be on his A-game as he attempts to join the sport's royalty in "Tennis Paradise".

The absence of Sinner means German ace Alexander Zverev tops the seedings, but he has struggled since finishing runner-up to the Italian at the Australian Open in January, failing to go past the quarter-final in three subsequent tournaments.

Djokovic has won the title on five occasions but not since 2016 and that Alcaraz match-up looks a potentially decisive obstacle, suggesting that there could be plenty of outright value to be had outside the obvious contenders.

ATP Indian Wells Open free betting tips and predictions

Stefanos Tsitsipas each-way - 20/1

With Alcaraz and Djokovic taking up much of the market in the bottom half of the draw, the top half could be the place to go in search of value and taking on Zverev and Medvedev seems like the logical thing to do.

Top seed Zverev has been beaten by Francisco Cerundolo, Francisco Comesana and Learner Tien in his three tournament starts since finishing runner-up at the Australian Open in January and he completely ignored his post-match commitments following his recent exit at the Mexican Open.

That shows that he is way below his best at present and suggests that some frustration is brewing, making him easy to oppose in such a big event.

Medvedev has finished runner-up in the last two years, twice losing to Alcaraz, but he too is way below his usual standards and his temper got the better of him in his last quarter-final defeat to Tallon Griekspoor at the Dubai Tennis Championships.

It all means that the Russian has gone past the quarter-final in only one of his five tournament appearances this season and his second-round exit at the Australian Open, an event he has reached three finals in, highlights his vulnerability.

Therefore, a surprise finalist from the top half of the draw looks a strong possibility and Stefanos Tsitsipas could be a prime candidate.

The Greek star is a dangerous player to dismiss when on a roll and his title triumph at the Dubai Tennis Championships last week shows he is back operating near to the top of his game.

That was his first title since the Monte Carlo Masters last season and, having made seven ATP 1000 event finals as well as two Grand Slam finals, he tends to raise his level for such showpiece events.

The other perk for backing Tsitsipas is that he has a nice draw to work with, featuring a potential third-round clash with Matteo Berrettini before a likely fourth-round showdown against one of Holger Rune or Ugo Humbert.

However, the 26-year-old defeated Berrettini in the quarter-final in Dubai last time out whereas Rune and Humbert are both blighted by inconsistencies.

With Zverev and Medvedev at risk of a potential early elimination, the draw could soon open up for Tsitsipas and he is tough to stop when the confidence is flowing.

Tommy Paul each-way - 40/1

At a bigger price in the bottom half of the draw, American talent Tommy Paul could put up a positive display and outrun his generous tournament odds.

Paul can blow hot and cold but the 27-year-old was an Australian Open quarter-finalist at the beginning of the year and he was a semi-finalist at Indian Wells last season, when he was beaten in a deciding set by Medvedev.

The American could meet Medvedev in the last-16 this time around but, with the Russian operating way below his optimum level, that looks a winnable opportunity.

Prior to that, Paul's toughest test looks to be in round three against Jiri Lehecka, but he should come through that with flying colours and set up another deep run in California.

Paul has lost only three of his 13 completed matches in 2025 and it would take a strong performance from someone to halt his progress.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.