Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

Aryna Sabalenka is favourite to win her first French Open singles with victory over Coco Gauff in Paris, but the top seed could face a tough test of her title credentials from the young American.

Sabalenka is a three-time Grand Slam singles champion but all those triumphs came on hard courts, twice at the Australian Open and once in the US Open.

Gauff’s only Slam singles win also came on the hard courts of New York City, but the French Open second seed has already contested a final on the Paris clay, in 2022 when, aged 18, she was overwhelmed by Iga Swiatek.

This year’s women’s final clash looks likely to be close and so, at the odds available, siding with the outsider could offer value for punters.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Coco Gauff	17/10
Best Bet	Coco Gauff to win	17/10
Bet Builder	Coco Gauff to win match, over 21.5 games in match, Aryna Sabalenka most aces	15/2

Key Match Stats

• Sabalenka and Gauff have each dropped only one set on the way to this year’s French Open final

• Sabalenka has won two sets 6-0 in this year’s French Open singles, while Gauff has posted only one bagel

• Sabalenka has won the first set in all six of her singles matches on the Paris clay this year, while Gauff had to fight back from the loss of the opening set to defeat quarter-final opponent Madison Keys

• Sabalenka and Gauff’s personal series stands at 5-5 with Gauff having won three of their first four meetings and Sabalenka emerging victorious in four of their last six clashes

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Prediction

Best Bet: Coco Gauff to win @ 17/10

Sabalenka is likely to be difficult to stop when she meets Gauff in the French Open final, but that doesn’t mean a bet on the favourite is warranted.

Far from it. Outsider Gauff has done enough on the slow red courts in recent weeks by reaching the finals in Madrid, Rome and now Paris to merit respect and punters should act accordingly.

Backing Gauff either to win at least one set or to win the match looks prudent. But in this instance, in order to obtain a bigger price we’ll take a chance on her lifting the title.

There’s little to separate the pair, both in their personal series and in their paths to the French Open final. It’s 5-5 on the head-to-heads with Gauff having done some good early work in winning three of her first four clashes with Sabalenka and the French Open top seed having steadied the ship by emerging victorious in four of their last six meetings.

Interestingly, Gauff won their first clay-court encounter in Rome in 2021, so it may be wise not to attach too much significance to Sabalenka’s recent close Madrid final victory over the Atlanta native.

Regarding their French Open routes to the final, Sabalenka has had to dig deep to win opening sets in recent outings against Amanda Anisimova, Qinwen Zheng and Swiatek. Former world number one Swiatek has been below her best, so there is genuine hope for Gauff to establish a hold on the final.

Adrian Humphries says:

Sabalenka is likely to be tough to stop but there are still enough reasons for taking a chance on outsider Gauff. For example, the finalists’ head-to-head record and the American’s impressive victories over Ekaterina Alexandrova, Australian Open champion Madison Keys and French wild-card Lois Boisson in her last three singles starts in Paris.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff Bet Builder Tip

• Coco Gauff to win

• Over 21.5 games in match

• Aryna Sabalenka most aces

  Pays 15/2

As well as backing Gauff to lift the trophy, it could also pay punters to expect a long match and have an interest in Sabalenka firing down most aces via a Bet Builder.

Gauff is playing well but Sabalenka is unlikely to be hushed easily given her experience and ability on clay, so back 22 or more games to be contested in the match.

And while the favourite could come under pressure, as was the case in her defeat to Mirra Andreeva in the Paris Slam last year, Sabalenka should still serve more aces than Gauff.

The top seed posted three bullets in her semi-final victory over Swiatek, but Gauff failed to serve one ace in the course of sweeping aside Boisson.

Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.

Adrian Humphries adds:

Gauff’s excellent array of groundstrokes mean she is quite capable of mixing it with Sabalenka, but it’s still likely to be a severe trial of strength for the American. A long match looks likelier than a shorter one and the favourite should still boss the aces count.

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site

Tactics and Form

Sabalenka will obviously look to overpower Gauff in tried and trusted fashion, but it may be worth punters looking at the bigger picture and how the American has got herself to a point in her career where she is close to becoming world number one for the first time.

This is an absolutely huge match for both players but perhaps especially Gauff, who will not want the only player who sits higher than her in the rankings, Sabalenka, to extend her lead at the pinnacle with victory in the final.

Denying Sabalenka is unlikely to be easy, but Gauff is potentially the best player in the world and punters can make use of that knowledge when planning their bets on the title match.

Form-wise, there’s little between the finalists, but Gauff may have been slightly more impressive in dismissing Alexandrova, Keys and Boisson than Sabalenka was in ousting Anisimova, Zheng and Swiatek.

View the full market and more odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff on site.

Read Aryna Sabalenka v Coco Gauff how to watch, live stream TV channel, start time and more on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.