Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tips, Predictions and Bet Builder

Carlos Alcaraz is a heavy favourite to add to his fantastic run of 21 match victories by defeating Andrey Rublev in the last 16 of Wimbledon on Sunday.

While the Spaniard should prevail, he is looking a little jaded after such a long and successful stint on clay and grass and it would not be a huge surprise if the 14th seed was to pose problems for the reigning champion.

Rublev has been busy bemoaning his own form in the first week of the year’s third Grand Slam tournament, but he has actually been playing some decent tennis.

Aged 27, he is still improving and there could be brighter skies around the corner for a player who lifted the Doha hard-court trophy in February.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Tips Summary

Market	Tip	Odds
Match Result	Carlos Alcaraz	1/12
Best Bet	Andrey Rublev to win a set	5/6
Bet Builder	Carlos Alcaraz to win match, Andrey Rublev to win at least one set, Over 33.5 total games	6/4

Key Match Stats

• Carlos Alcaraz leads Andrey Rublev 2-1 in their personal series
• Rublev upset the Spaniard 4-6 6-3 6-2 on clay in Madrid last year
• Carlos Alcaraz has won all four sets the pair have contested on fast courts and those all came in the ATP Finals in Turin in 2023 and 2024
• Andrey Rublev has reached the quarter-finals of all four Grand Slam singles tournaments but has never gone further than the last eight in any
• Alcaraz has created 37 break points in his first three matches, winning 18
• Rublev has won 11 of the 29 break points he has earned so far

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Best Bet: Andrey Rublev to win a set @ 5/6

There’s no getting away from the fact that Carlos Alcaraz is looking just about as lacklustre on court as Jannik Sinner is looking fresh, but it’s far too early to make accurate predictions regarding how the second week of the Championships will play out.

Alcaraz has dropped sets against Fabio Fognini (two) and Jan-Lennard Struff, posting his only straight-sets win against British amateur Oliver Tarvet.

So this looks a big opportunity for Rublev to at least pose problems for the world number two and second seed, even if he cannot actually find a way to defeat the brilliant Murcian.

Rublev was complaining about plenty after losing the opening set of his second-round encounter with Lloyd Harris, but the South African was a seriously useful player a few years ago and the 14th seed did well to turn that match on its head and triumph in four sets.

Rublev won the only match he and Alcaraz have contested outdoors in their career - in Madrid last year, with the Spaniard winning both indoor meetings in straight sets - and even though the favourite is bidding to make it a hat-trick of Wimbledon titles this summer, it’s possible that Rublev’s game is better suited to the demands of grass than many might believe.

Alcaraz could easily turn up on Sunday looking great after a good night’s sleep, but it feels as if his clash with Rublev is more likely to be closely contested than not.

And so having dropped sets against soon-to-be-retired veteran Fognini and long-time underachiever Struff, Rublev could win at least one set against his ultra-busy opponent.

Adrian Humphries explains:

Alcaraz has already been taken beyond three sets in two of his three matches against unseeded players, while Rublev also has some confidence from beating the Spaniard last year.

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Bet Builder Tip

• Carlos Alcaraz to win match
• Andrey Rublev to win at least one set
• Over 33.5 total games
  
  Pays 6/4

Rublev winning a set would almost certainly go a long way towards the match yielding a higher total-games make-up, although these things are never cast-iron.

But with the combined factors of five-time major singles champion Alcaraz not being at his brilliant best and Rublev arguably playing better than it appears on the face of it, the outsider would appear to have a definite chance of making his mark in the last match to be played on Centre Court on Sunday.

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Adrian Humphries adds:

The main factors to take into consideration are possible fatigue on Alcaraz’s part and that Rublev is actually in good form.

Read more tennis betting tips and predictions on site.

Tactics and Form

Rublev will probably walk on to the Centre Court with his head bowed, but take no notice of his histrionics because the 14th seed is playing pretty well.

In a way, Rublev may even be making up ground on Alcaraz, so there is definitely an opportunity for the outsider to take the game to the champion in the last 16.

View the full market and more odds for Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.