Leinster v Toulouse: Prediction, Tips and Odds

The two most successful teams in the history of the European Champions Cup go head-to-head in London on Saturday as Leinster take on Toulouse.

Arguably the best final that could have been asked for at the start of the long European campaign, these heavyweights of the club game are preparing for what is set to be a titanic tussle at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this weekend.

Leinster have suffered final heartbreak in the last two seasons but Saturday could see the Irish province finally get their day back in the sun.

Leinster v Toulouse betting tips and predictions

Leinster -2.5 handicap - 1/1

Leinster have been pushing for that elusive fifth Champions Cup trophy to join Toulouse at the top of the standings in titles for this prestigious competition.

Since winning their fourth title in 2018 with a 15-12 victory over Racing 92 in Bilbao, Leinster have gone on to lose three finals.

Two of those final defeats have come in the last two years, with La Rochelle winning back-to-back European crowns in Marseille and Dublin.

With a total losing margin of just four points over those two finals against La Rochelle, Leinster know only too well how these matches can rest on a knife edge.

Toulouse last made the final in 2021 and they managed to get over the line against La Rochelle with a 22-17 victory at Twickenham.

Leinster are the marginal favourites going into Saturday’s game and they will be looking back to their performance in their last meeting against Toulouse in the semi-finals of the Champions Cup last year.

Head coach Leo Cullen saw his side win 41-22 in that high-pressure game and, while it might not be such a convincing victory this weekend, Leinster look like they can get the job done at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Toulouse are not the same force on their travels as they are on their own patch and Leinster have the experience and the quality to fall on the right side of the -2.5 handicap on offer here.

Double Result - Leinster-Leinster - 11/10

Expect Leinster to try and stamp their authority on the game from the off in London to prevent Toulouse from feeling their way into the contest and building up confidence.

Cullen and his players will know that if the Top 14 giants get up a head of steam, with the likes of Antoine Dupont and Romain Ntamack in their backline, they will take some stopping.

With so many Ireland internationals in their ranks, it’s interesting to look back on the 2024 Six Nations campaign to see the half-time and full-time scores.

Ireland led at the break in all of their five games in the championship and went on to win four of them on their way to retaining the Six Nations title.

Leinster will look to follow that same trend by imposing themselves on the match from the off, and they are worth considering in the Double Result market to be leading at both the half-time and full-time whistle this weekend.

Winning Margin - Leinster 1-10 points - 15/8

Champions Cup finals tend to be tightly-fought contests, with a couple of big moments eventually deciding the winner.

Five points has been the biggest winning margin in the Champions Cup final in the last four years, with Toulouse beating La Rochelle 22-17.

Saturday’s game might well come down to a winning margin of a converted try of less once again and, with that in mind, a Leicester victory by between 1-10 points offers good value at 15/8 for what should be an intriguing and tense heavyweight showdown in London.

Leinster v Toulouse odds

Leinster - 4/5
Draw - 18/1
Toulouse - 11/10

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.