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Australia v Wales
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Australia v Wales: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Australia will be aiming to inflict more misery on Wales when the two teams meet in the second and final Test of their series in Melbourne on Saturday.

The Wallabies claimed a 25-16 victory in Sydney last weekend to condemn Wales to an eighth-straight defeat and ramp up the pressure on Warren Gatland's tourists heading into this contest at Melbourne's AAMI Park.

Australia v Wales

Australia v Wales betting tips and predictions

Australia to win by 6-10 points - 4/1

There were certainly contrasting emotions at Allianz Stadium last Saturday as Australia were celebrating victory in Joe Schmidt's first match as head coach, while Wales were reeling in yet another defeat.

Since beating Georgia in their final pool match at the 2023 World Cup, the Dragons have lost eight Tests on the bounce, a run that includes five defeats from five in this year's Six Nations as they picked up the wooden spoon for the first time since 2003.

Gatland has now lost 14 of his 20 Tests since returning for a second spell in charge of Wales at the end of 2022 and last weekend's defeat also saw the team slip to 11th in the world rankings and outside the top 10 for the very first time.

Wales' record losing run stands at 10 matches - which occurred under Steve Hansen between 2002 and 2003 - and they will in all likelihood move a step closer to equalling that unwanted tally this weekend.

It is 55 years since Wales last beat Australia in the Wallabies' own backyard, a run of 12 matches, but Gatland will be doing all he can to get his squad believing and he doesn't have to look far given his side thrashed Saturday’s opponents 40-6 at last year's World Cup.

Wales also delivered a competitive performance during the first Test, losing by just nine points, and a similar margin of defeat seems the most likely outcome this time around as well.

These two sides usually throw up closely fought contests. Wales' win at the 2023 World Cup is the only time across the last seven meetings that the margin of victory for either team has hit double figures, while that has also occurred just three times in the last 18 head-to-heads.

Five of those last 18 encounters have been settled by between 6-10 points and that could prove the case again on Saturday, with Australia falling on the right side of the result once more.

Filipo Daugunu anytime tryscorer - 7/5

Wing Filipo Daugunu had a day to remember during the first Test, marking his first appearance for Australia in almost three years by crossing for his second Wallabies try.

It was an important score as well from the 29-year-old, as it came early in the second half when the two teams were locked together at 13-13 and it gave Australia the momentum to go on and close out the victory.

Daugunu is one of several players in the Wallabies squad that has been handed a recall by Schmidt and he will be determined to seize his chance again on familiar turf, as he spent the 2024 Super Rugby season with the Rebels, who play their home games at AAMI Park.

It would certainly be no surprise if Daugunu were to end up having another major say on Saturday as he goes in search of a third try in Australia colours.

Liam Williams anytime tryscorer - 3/1

Wales have been forced into two changes to their starting XV, with Josh Hathaway and Aaron Wainwright both missing out through injury.

Cameron Winnett and James Botham will come in to replace the stricken pair and that means there will be several positional alterations, including the experienced Liam Williams moving to the wing.

Williams will be winning his 92nd cap on Saturday and he has 20 tries to his name, a tally that has him sitting inside the top 10 on the list of Wales' record try scorers.

The switch to wing should boost the 33-year-old's chances of adding to that tally and he appears as likely as anyone to cross for Gatland's side, something no Wales player managed last weekend, as their 16 points came via a penalty try and the kicking of fly-half Ben Thomas.

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Australia v Wales odds

Australia - 1/4
Tie -
25/1
Wales -
3/1

View the full market and more odds for Australia v Wales on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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