The 2026 State of Origin series comes down to a Game 3 decider on Wednesday morning, as Queensland prepare to host rivals New South Wales at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane.
Stunning the Maroons with a 22-20 comeback win in Game 1 in Sydney, the Blues were on the wrong end of a 44-24 scoreline when they clashed in Game 2 in Melbourne.
Back on home turf in Brisbane and with a knack for clinching Origin deciders, Queensland will be tough to stop at Suncorp Stadium.
Queensland v New South Wales Tips Summary
Best Bet - Queensland -4.5 handicap @ 1.89
Alternative Bet - Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow anytime tryscorer @ 2.00
Bet Builder - Queensland to win, Selwyn Cobbo & Jack Bostock anytime tryscorers @ 7.00
Queensland v New South Wales Prediction
Best Bet: Queensland -4.5 handicap @ 1.89
Winning 10 of the last 12 Origin Series deciders, the Maroons have made a habit of coming out on top in these high-pressure encounters.
The sending off of Kalyn Ponga in the 53rd minute in Game 1 was the turning point in that match that allowed NSW back into the contest to eventually win in Sydney.
Since that final whistle, the Maroons have been the dominant force, and after a convincing win on neutral turf in Melbourne, Queensland are great value to win and over the -4.5 handicap on Wednesday.
Alternative Bet: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow anytime tryscorer @ 2.00
Enjoying a superb season for the Dolphins and the Maroons, Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow is a player to watch out for in the anytime tryscorer market.
Tabuai-Fidow has scored 13 tries in 12 Origin games and is well priced at 2.00 to add to his try collection for the Maroons in Brisbane.
Queensland v New South Wales Bet Builder Tip
Queensland to win
Selwyn Cobbo anytime tryscorer
Jack Bostock anytime tryscorer
Pays @ 7.00
With Queensland backed for the win, Selwyn Cobbo and Jack Bostock are both tipped up in the anytime tryscorer market for this three-fold bet builder.
Cobbo bagged a hat-trick in Game 2 for the Maroons and it would be little surprise to see him strike again, while Bostock is backed to score a try on his Blues debut.
Scoring four tries in eight appearances for the Dolphins in the NRL this season, Bostock can mark his maiden appearance for NSW with a try to remember.
Learn more about how Bet Builders work in our Bet Builder guide.
Key Match Stats
Queensland have won 10 of the last 12 Origin Series deciders
Queensland have won the series seven times after losing Game 1
New South Wales have won the last two Origin matches played at Suncorp Stadium
Queensland go into this game on the back of a 44-24 win over New South Wales in Game 2
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
