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Royal Ascot Lucky 15
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Royal Ascot Lucky 15 tips: 11/1 chance included in Friday selections

Following on from his 33/1 winning nap on the opening day, Keith Melrose from the Racing Post provides a Lucky 15 for Friday's action at Royal Ascot.

Keith Melrose's Royal Ascot Lucky 15

3.05 Ascot - Shaquille @ 10/1
4.20 Ascot - Tahirya @ 4/7
5.35 Ascot - Artistic Star @ 11/2
6.10 Ascot - Jer Batt @ 11/1

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Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

3.05 Ascot - Shaquille @ 10/1

The Commonwealth Cup this year is a deep race, in which Little Big Bear might just be too good for them. 

His wing draw and short price are enough for me to say with a fair amount of confidence that he is not the best bet in the field. 

That honour goes to SHAQUILLE, but it is quite easy to see why he has been ignored.

In a race full of Godolphin and Ballydoyle and Varian horses, this challenger from North Yorkshire just will not have the brand recognition. 

But Julie Camacho is as capable as anyone with a progressive sprinter and this horse has form lines as a three-year-old which could rival anything in this field besides the favourite. 

In spite of this, he can be backed at double-figure odds. 

You can bet that if a horse with his form represented a major Newmarket yard, he would be 5/1 joint second favourite. As it is, he is an appealing bet for unsung connections.

Keith Melrose's tip:

Shaquille @ 10/1

4.20 Ascot - Tahirya @ 4/7

You can more readily afford to include short-priced favourites in multiples, knowing that with another winner or two the winnings will soon mount up. 

Mawj was making the market a little for TAHIRYA, so it is a shame she is out, but now the path looks to be clear for the favourite. 

It was purely because of fitness that Tahirya could not get past Mawj, who had been on the go over winter in Dubai, in the 1,000 Guineas. 

With that run behind her, she made no mistake in the Irish equivalent, beating today's second favourite Meditate as though she could beat that filly every day for the rest of her life. 

As a dual Guineas winner, she would be 2/5 for this. 

She is a de facto one, especially with the Newmarket winner being out of this race, and therefore odds around 4/7 are perfectly fair.

Keith Melrose's tip:

Tahirya @ 4/7

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5.35 Ascot - Artistic Star @ 11/2

King Of Steel and ARTISTIC STAR were the two horses in the Derby with the clearest undelivered potential. 

One got a positive ride, stole a march on winner Auguste Rodin and was able to show his worth. 

The other got shuffled back early on, had no clear run through and made only modest late headway. 

While Artistic Star might never have a performance like King Of Steel's on Derby day in him, you cannot rule it out on the evidence presented. 

He was much shorter in the market at Epsom and, as mentioned, could not show his best. 

As a result, I cannot accept the market giving him about a fifth of the chance King Of Steel has. 

Artistic Star has a similar profile to Westover, who was pretty luckless himself in the Derby but finished third. 

He went on to win the Irish Derby by seven lengths. All we need to Artistic Star to do is improve by seven to ten pounds to win a Group 2.

Keith Melrose's tip:

Artistic Star @ 11/2

6.10 Ascot - Jer Batt @ 11/1

Since joining the Barrons, JER BATT's story has been one of relentless progress. 

He won at Southwell, then ran into Great State (now rated 30lb higher) on his next run. He has repeated the pattern switched to turf. 

He dotted up in a race at Musselburgh which has worked out positively. 

While he did not run into any monsters at Chester next time, he was undone by the draw and shaped best by daylight. 

His rise for Musselburgh has since come into effect, but he deserved it and is not done improving yet if his yard's usual methods are anything to go by. 

He has plenty of other likely sorts drawn around him in the Holyrood House and can resume his progress.

Keith Melrose's tip:

Jer Batt @ 11/1

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Keith Melrose's Royal Ascot Lucky 15

3.05 Ascot - Shaquille @ 10/1
4.20 Ascot - Tahirya @ 4/7
5.35 Ascot - Artistic Star @ 11/2
6.10 Ascot - Jer Batt @ 11/1

View the latest Horse Racing Odds

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

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