Rory McIlroy Masters Odds: McIlroy 11/1 to win at Augusta

Ahead of the 2024 US Masters, Rory McIlroy has been priced up at 11/1 to win at Augusta.

Of those still to win the US Masters, the Northern Irishman has the best record at Augusta by far, posting seven top-10s (of which half were top-5s) in the last 10 years.

There have, however, been two missed cuts in the last three years, and time is no longer on McIlroy’s side.

Since having his measurements jotted down in 2011 before his agonising collapse, McIlroy, despite countless scores in the 60s to record these high finishes, has too often thrown in an over-par round that’s kept him out of contention.

His form this season hasn’t been the most stellar, either. Since his win at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic, McIlroy has finished T66 at the Pebble Beach, following up with four finishes between T19 and T24 before finally finding something at the Valero Texas Open, finishing third.

While McIlroy has been consistent, he’s not shown regular form of the level that will be required to win a major, prompting his decision to see coach Butch Harmon.

Though McIlroy was held back last week by an unusually wayward driver, ranking 55th in driving accuracy, he ranked third for Strokes Gained: Approach and fifth for Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, suggesting the call to Harmon may have had the desired effect.

While McIlroy is playing well enough to perform well at Augusta, and certainly has the course form to contend and maybe even win, he’ll be creating history if he is to win at Augusta this week.

While most Masters winners tend to have a handful of Augusta starts to their name, of the 56 first-time winners, only four had more than 12 starts to their name, and none were making their 16th start (though Sergio Garcia won on his 19th attempt). Having made his debut in 2009, this will be McIlroy’s 16th start.

There’s no question about McIlroy’s ability to play at Augusta, but after so many years and so many misses, is there too much mental scar tissue there to prevent McIlroy from winning, or can he put those years of experience to good use?

We’ll find out on Sunday.

Liam Williams

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