Racing Post tipster Robbie Wilders shares his selections from the final three races on the third day of Glorious Goodwood.
4.10 Goodwood
Prairie Falcon @ 14/1
1pt each-way
4.45 Goodwood
Le Beau Garcon @ 9/1
1pt each-way
5.20 Goodwood
Sparkling Beauty @ 7/1
1pt win
Take note of Dods course record
The 7f nursery (4.10) features stacks of unknown quantities and is never a race to approach with maximum confidence as we don't have masses of form to go off.
Considering the depth of the contest, True Statesman looks a little short in the betting and his price might owe more to his connections rather than the substance of his form. He is progressive and could win, but I'd rather side with another each-way at much bigger odds and that is Prairie Falcon.
Michael Dods has saddled a winner from his sole runner at Goodwood over the last five seasons and it appears significant he has targeted this Belardo colt at this race. Prairie Falcon hasn't shown form that suggests he is chucked in off his opening mark of 74, but dropping to 5f from 6f for the first time could spark some improvement. Few trainers excel with sprinters over the minimum trip like Dods and the booking of Hollie Doyle catches the eye.
Le Beau a beaut of a bet
Horses drawn low to middle dominate the early betting for the 5f handicap (4.45) but I prefer a mid-high draw over the minimum distance at Goodwood and Le Beau Garcon is the one to back each-way with 365 paying four places. He goes from stall 14.
This is a rare runner here for Michael and David Easterby (second in the last five seasons) and the Brazen Beau gelding didn't seem to get home over 6f in a hot 19-runner handicap at Newmarket's July meeting last time.
However, he still ran well in seventh and served notice he remains in good form, having proved an unlucky loser over 5f at Musselburgh the time before. His Racing Post Ratings were progressive before Newmarket and the handicapper has dropped him 2lb in the ratings.
After only five starts, Le Beau Garcon should have plenty more to offer over a furlong less.
Hughes to take the last
Richard Hughes enjoyed many brilliant days in the saddle at Glorious Goodwood and might have another as a trainer with Sparkling Beauty in the concluding 7f fillies' maiden (5.20).
I thought Sparkling Beauty showed plenty of ability on her debut when second at Newbury in June and Hughes’ juveniles always come forward for their initial experience.
Owners Amo Racing would doubtless have had many fillies to aim at a race of this nature at a flagship meeting in the calendar and it might be significant Sparkling Beauty is the chosen one.
She retains an entry in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh later in the season and that is an indication of the regard in which she is held.
A maiden victory should be a formality and while she ran to a lower RPR on her debut than standard-setting fillies Zarga and Luckin Brew, Sparkling Beauty could be the value for a yard operating at a healthy 25 per cent strike-rate over the last fortnight.
This is a race to play win-only with big-field maidens never lending themselves to favourable place terms for punters.
By Robbie Wilders.
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