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Premier League Odds: 5/2 for Premier League to be decided by goal difference

Every year without fail, the Premier League title race comes down to two teams.

There may be three or even four in the thick of it throughout the campaign, but when push comes to shove it’s always down to two.

This season, however, may well be an exception, and it’s 5/2 that the title is decided by goal difference.

Of course, the only time the Premier League has been separated by goal difference was back in 2012, when Manchester City pipped rivals United in the last seconds to win a first Premier League crown, but there’s every chance of a repeat this season.

bet365’s Steve Freeth said: “We’ve had a few nail-biting title races over recent seasons, mainly involving Manchester City and Liverpool, and with Arsenal also thrown into the mix it’s got all the makings of a fascinating end to the 2023/24 Premier League campaign.

“As is stands, we’re favouring a margin of between 1 and 3 points, but neutrals would love to see a repeat of the 2011/12 campaign when the two Manchester clubs finished on 89 points only for City to win with superior goal difference.”













Manchester City




Manchester City are slight favourites for the title at 6/4 and we are getting to their favourite time of the year. Pep Guardiola’s side have responded to being held at home to Arsenal by scoring four goals against both Aston Villa and Crystal Palace.

Arsenal have hauled themselves back into the title race and have been supremely impressive in 2024.

Liverpool are level on points with Arsenal at the top of the table, but will be disappointed that they didn't come away from Old Trafford with a victory after having a number of chances against Manchester United.

Premier League Outright
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