Premier League Final Day Permutations: Race for Europe & relegation battle

Arsenal were crowned Premier League champions when Manchester City were held to a draw against Bournemouth on Tuesday night, but there is still plenty to play for on the final day of the 2025/26 campaign.

It's been a season full of twists and turns in England's top-flight, and many have gone as far as to say that it's the most competitive Premier League term that we've seen in some years.

Nine teams remain mathematically in the picture for European football as we approach the final day, while London-based outfits Tottenham and West Ham will be looking to preserve their Premier League status.

We take a look at the permutations ahead of the final day of the 2025/26 Premier League season.

Premier League relegation permutations

Standings

	Played:	Won:	Drawn:	Lost:	Goal Difference:	Points:
17 - Tottenham	37	9	11	17	-10	38
18 - West Ham	37	9	9	19	-22	36

Fixtures

• Tottenham Hotspur v Everton
• West Ham v Leeds United

How Tottenham can secure Premier League survival

Tottenham need to win against Everton on the final day to mathematically secure Premier League survival, though a point is expected to get the job done, barring a drastic swing in goal difference.

If West Ham fail to beat Leeds United, then Roberto De Zerbi's side will retain their Premier League status irrespective of how they fare against the Toffees.

How West Ham can secure Premier League survival

For West Ham to secure Premier League survival, Nuno Espirito Santo's side have to beat Leeds and Tottenham need to lose against Everton.

If Spurs draw at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, then the Hammers would need to beat Leeds by 12 goals to level their goal difference and secure survival.

Premier League European qualifications permutations

Standings

	Played:	Won:	Drawn:	Lost:	Goal Difference:	Points:
5 - Liverpool	37	17	8	12	+10	59
6 - Bournemouth	37	13	17	7	+4	56
7 - Brighton	37	14	11	12	+9	53
8 - Chelsea	37	14	10	13	+7	52
9 - Brentford	37	14	10	13	+3	52
10 - Sunderland	37	13	12	12	-7	51

Fixtures

• Liverpool v Brentford
• Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth
• Brighton v Manchester United
• Sunderland v Chelsea

Liverpool final day permutations

Liverpool need one point against Brentford to secure fifth place and qualify for the UEFA Champions League. Even in the event that Arne Slot's side do lose at Anfield, there would need to be a six-goal swing for Bournemouth to overtake them in the standings.

If the Reds defeat Brentford and Aston Villa lose against Manchester City on the final day, the 2024/25 Premier League champions will finish fourth.

Bournemouth final day permutations

Bournemouth need one point at Nottingham Forest to guarantee sixth place, which, as it stands, would guarantee Europa League football.

If, in unlikely circumstances, the Cherries defeat Nottingham Forest, Liverpool lose to Brentford and a six-goal swing occurs, then Andoni Iraola's side would qualify for the UEFA Champions League in fifth.

Even in the event that Bournemouth finish sixth, they could still qualify for the UEFA Champions League. For this to happen, Aston Villa would need to finish 5th and win the Europa League.

Brighton final day permutations

Brighton will not drop below seventh in the Premier League standings if they defeat Manchester United on the day, which would be enough to secure Europa League football.

They could, however, finish sixth if they beat Michael Carrick's side and Bournemouth lose to Nottingham Forest. As it stands, sixth will also qualify for the Europa League, but it would change to a UEFA Champions League spot if Villa finish 5th and win the Europa League.

Chelsea final day permutations

Barring a dramatic goal difference swing, Chelsea will not drop below eighth in the Premier League standings if they defeat Sunderland on Sunday afternoon. Irrespective of if Villa win the Europa League and where they place in the top-flight, eighth will qualify for the Conference League.

If Brighton fail to beat Man Utd and Chelsea win at the Stadium of Light, then the West London-based outfit will qualify for the Europa League in seventh place.

Due to the current goal difference standings, Chelsea are unlikely to drop lower than 10th even if they do lose, but defeat against Sunderland would see Calum McFarlane's side drop to 10th if Brentford took all three points in their final fixture.

Brentford final day permutations

If Brentford beat Liverpool and Brighton and Chelsea fail to win their final day fixtures, then the Bees would qualify for the Europa League in seventh place.

If one of Brighton or Chelsea win and the other fails to, then Keith Andrews' side would finish eighth with a win at Anfield, securing Conference League football.

Sunderland final day permutations

If Sunderland defeat Chelsea and Brighton and Brentford lose their respective clashes, Regis Le Bris' side would jump to seventh in the standings and qualify for the Europa league.

If both Brighton and Brentford win, the Black Cats can not qualify for Europe. If Brighton win and Brentford fail to, then Sunderland will catapult to eighth and qualify for the Conference League with a win against Chelsea. Similarly, if Brentford win and Brighton lose, Le Bris' side will finish eighth with three points at the Stadium of Light.