The final game of the weekend slate in NFL Week 14 is an AFC West battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Missouri.
The Chiefs remain on course to earn the AFC's top seeding for the play-offs and first-round bye, but they don't have much margin for error with the Buffalo Bills just one win behind them and holding a head-to-head tiebreaker.
The champions next face a tricky home test against their closest divisional rivals, who are having a strong first season under head coach Jim Harbaugh and are on course for a wild-card spot with an 8-4 record.
The teams met in a low-scoring clash in September, when the Chargers secured a 10-0 lead in the first quarter, but the Chiefs fought back to win 17-10 thanks to a late touchdown from Samaje Perine.
The Chiefs were bigger favourites for that road game than they are at home this week, having failed to catch the eye in their recent outings and a hard-fought contest is expected.
Isiah Pacheco over 50.5 rushing yards @ 10/11
Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco made an impressive return from injury against the Raiders last week and should have earned himself more carries in this game.
Pacheco was entering the field for the first time since suffering a fractured fibula against the Bengals in Week 2, but he soon showed why he should have few problems regaining the number one role from Kareem Hunt.
He broke off the team's longest run of the season, a 34-yard effort and, while Hunt has been solid when pounding away in short-yardage situations, he lacks the burst that he had in his younger days.
The pair had seven carries each against the Raiders, but Pacheco should be the principal runner this week and can exceed his rushing yards line.
Will Dissly over 35.5 receiving yards @ 10/11
Another player looking to bounce back this week is Chargers tight end Will Dissly, who barely made an impression on the stats sheet last week when failing to catch a pass and being targeted only once by quarterback Justin Herbert against the Falcons.
That performance was very much an outlier from recent games, though, as Dissly has become a key part of the offence this season.
He had at least 30 receiving yards in five of his previous six games, including 80-yard efforts against the Cardinals and Bengals, and he could be even busier than usual if wide receiver Ladd McConkey is limited or unable to play due to injury.
Raiders tight end Brock Bowers had 140 receiving yards against the Chiefs last week and Dissly needs only just over a quarter of that to go over his line for this game.
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Money Line | Spread | Over/Under | |
Chiefs | -4.0 - 10/11 | Over 43.0 - 10/11 | |
Chargers | +4.0 - 10/11 | Under 43.0 - 10/11 |
Chargers +4.0 @10/11
The Chargers have covered the handicap in eight of their 12 games this season and are 4-2 against the spread on the road, and they look capable of at least keeping it close against the Chiefs.
Kansas City have the best overall record in the NFL, but they have not been a team to follow on the handicap this season, covering the spread in only five of their 12 games.
The Chargers' last four road games have brought them wins in Denver, Cleveland and Atlanta plus a narrow 17-15 loss in Arizona, all of which would have seen them covering when getting the handicap start they have for this contest.
The head-to-head record heavily favours the Chiefs, but they have not impressed in their latest two wins over two of the league's lesser lights in the Panthers and Raiders and they look worth opposing against stronger opposition this week.
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.