The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship game for the first time since 2020 when the two teams meet at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes and co have famously got the better of the Bills over the years in the play-offs, and they will expect to do the same this weekend as they play in front of their own supporters with a place in the NFC Championship up for grabs.
Both teams won their respective divisions, with the Chiefs winning the AFC West with a 15-2 record, while the Bills topped the charts in the AFC East thanks to their 13-4 campaign.
Josh Allen Over 229.5 Passing Yards - 10/11
Bills quarterback Josh Allen has already lost three times to Chiefs ace Patrick Mahomes during their play-off encounters.
The Chiefs secured the No.1 seed for the fourth time since Mahomes became the team's quarterback, but he has not been able to perform to the same level as Allen this season.
Even though Allen finished the season 14th in total passing yards, he is the antepost favourite to win this season's MVP award.
Allen played in all 17 games for the Bills this season, throwing for 3,731 yards at an average of 7.7 per throw.
He averaged 219.5 yards per game and continues to be the main man in Buffalo.
In the Bills' first play-off game against the Denver Broncos, Allen threw for 272 yards, while he was restricted to just 127 against the Baltimore Ravens in the Bills' 27-25 success last week.
Allen has become a lot more accurate and makes better decisions in recent seasons and that was evident during Buffalo's 30-21 success over the Chiefs in the regular season.
The 28-year-old would love nothing more than to finally get one over the Chiefs, so expect him to record some huge numbers on Sunday on the road.
Kareem Hunt Over 33.5 Rushing Yards - 10/11
Most of Kansas' offence will run through Mahomes on Sunday and that is a wise ploy considering his talents.
The likes of Travis Kelce and Isiah Pacheco have also been at the forefront of their success, but Chiefs coach Andy Reid may need to get running back Kareem Hunt more involved this weekend.
Hunt rushed for 44 yards from eight carries against the Texans in last weekend's 23-14 win, and he has the experience needed at this stage of the season to play another crucial role.
In the final three games of the regular season, Hunt rushed for over 40 yards on two occasions, and in order to get his team over the line, Reid is likely to draw up some creative plays which may help Hunt get more possession.
Money Line | Spread | Over/Under | |
Chiefs | -1.5 - 10/11 | Over 48.5 - 10/11 | |
Bills | +1.5 - 10/11 | Under 48.5 - 10/11 |
Kansas City Chiefs ML - 4/5
The Bills handled the pressure well last weekend to beat Baltimore, but they were helped by some costly mistakes from the Ravens.
Buffalo were out-gained by 143 total yards by the Ravens, but they shot themselves in the foot when it mattered most.
On the whole, the Bills are the better team in most areas, but they lack Championship experience.
Throughout the regular season, the Chiefs found a way to win when it looked unlikely and that is the makeup of their team. They are incredibly well-coached and they can find a way when their backs are against the wall.
Neutrals would love to see a Buffalo win this weekend, but backing against the Chiefs in a big game like this is often a recipe for disaster.
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.