The AFC North season finishes one day earlier than the rest of the NFL with two games on Saturday and the divisional title could be decided when the Baltimore Ravens host the Cleveland Browns in the first of those fixtures.
A win for the 11-5 Ravens would see them retain the divisional crown and even if they are upset by the Browns, John Harbaugh's team would still finish on top if the Pittsburgh Steelers fail to beat the Cincinnati Bengals in the later game.
The oddsmakers clearly expect it to be a straightforward task for the Ravens, as the Browns have been handed the biggest handicap start of the season for their trip to M&T Bank Stadium.
The visitors have been sliding meekly towards the end of the season since being eliminated from play-off contention and could have their fourth different starting quarterback of the year with Bailey Zappe in contention to replace Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who has led the team to just nine points in their last two games against the Bengals and Dolphins.
Harbaugh will be wary that his team lost 29-24 to the Browns in Cleveland in Week 8, but the visitors have no real incentive to try to repeat that result as a victory could deprive them of the top-three draft pick they are currently on course to receive.
Zay Flowers longest reception over 22.5 yards - 20/23
The Browns defence struggled to contain Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers in the teams' first meeting, even though they won that game, and he looks capable of making more big plays on Saturday.
Flowers caught seven passes for 115 yards in the teams' October meeting. His longest reception that day was 29 yards and he has had one catch of at least 23 yards in six of his eight appearances since then.
The Browns could be missing their top cornerback for the game as Denzel Ward is battling to be fit after picking up a shoulder injury against the Dolphins, which would make Flowers' chances of a big play even better.
A bet on his longest reception is preferred to one on his total yardage as there is the potential for the Ravens to withdraw their starters once victory looks assured.
Jerry Jeudy over 49.5 receiving yards - 10/11
There haven't been many highlights for the Browns in the 2024 season, but Jerry Jeudy establishing himself as their top wide receiver after the departure of Amari Cooper has been one.
Jeudy is having the best season of his career with 1,166 receiving yards at an average of 72.9 per game in his first year with the Browns and he was targeted a whopping 18 times against the Dolphins last week, catching 12 passes for 94 yards.
The former Bronco had 79 receiving yards in the teams' first meeting and should be the primary target again whoever is playing quarterback for the Browns.
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Money Line | Spread | Over/Under | |
Ravens | -17.5 - 20/23 | Over 41.5 - 10/11 | |
Browns | +17.5 - 20/21 | Under 41.5 - 10/11 |
Baltimore Ravens v Cleveland Browns spread pick - Browns +17.5 - 20/21
The Browns have lost five in a row, but only one of those defeats came by more than the huge handicap allotted to this game and their defence should help to keep the scoreline reasonably respectable.
The visitors have not conceded more than 27 points in their last four games despite playing the strong offences of the Steelers, Chiefs, Bengals and Dolphins.
So, while it should be a comfortable win for the Ravens, there is no incentive for them to run up the score once they have achieved their main objective.
Baltimore may have the opportunity to bring in their back-ups late in the game, knowing they have a tough wildcard game in prospect next week and the Browns won't want to make it easy for them, despite having no incentive to win themselves.
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.