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MotoGP 2024 Outright Odds: Marc Marquez odds-on to roll back the years

Last year saw one of the most open title battles in MotoGP history, with Francesco Bagnaia retaining his championship and being one of eight different riders to claim a Grand Prix victory.

For the first time since the inaugural season in 1949, no one recorded wins in back-to-back Grands Prix and while Ducati machinery filled four of the top five places in the riders' championship, the top four represented four different teams.

The odds suggest 2024 may not be quite as open as that, with a MotoGP legend a strong favourite to win his first title since 2019 after switching teams. 

Here we take a look at the riders at the top of the outright market to claim the 2024 MotoGP crown, with the new season set to get underway in March.

MotoGP 2024 Outright Odds

Marc Marquez3/4
Francesco Bagnaia5/2
Jorge Martin5/1
Enea Bastianini11/1
Brad Binder20/1
Marco Bezzecchi28/1
Franco Morbidelli40/1
Pedro Acosta40/1
Fabio Di Giannantonio50/1
Fabio Quartararo50/1


Marc Marquez

Current Outright Odds - 3/4

Six-time world champion Marc Marquez has left Honda after 11 seasons in a move that many are predicting will see him leap back to the head of the title battle in 2024.

Although his new outfit, Gresini, are a satellite team, they will be running an updated version of the 2023 Ducati which set the benchmark. 

While he will be up against better-funded factory riders such as defending champion Bagnaia, Marquez can take heart from the fact that Gresini took a sprint race win and a Grand Prix victory in the latter stages of last season.

Marquez himself is on a winless run stretching back to 2021, partly due to Honda's uncompetitive machinery but also as a result of a string of injuries.

That has to be the biggest concern heading into a long season, especially now there are sprint races at every round. Marquez has missed at least four race weekends in each of the last four years, and another injury would see him lose ground in what could prove a fiercely-contested championship battle.

Francesco Bagnaia

Current Outright Odds - 5/2

In his three years as a factory Ducati rider, Francesco 'Pecco' Bagnaia has collected two world championships and 18 Grand Prix wins.

Known for his consistency, Bagnaia appeared on the podium in 15 of the 16 Grands Prix he finished last season. That is how titles are won, particularly in an especially competitive era.

While Marquez's arrival threatens to shake up the Ducati family, Bagnaia will be confident of proving he is still the team's number one, and the Italian may even be thankful to be out of the main glare of the country's famously rabid sporting press. 

He can also take heart from the fact that no satellite-team rider has ever won the championship, and if he can put together another solid season of consistent high finishes, a third straight title could well be Bagnaia's.

Jorge Martin

Current Outright Odds - 5/1

Following an impressive career in the junior categories, Jorge Martin burst onto the MotoGP scene in 2021, taking three pole positions from his first seven appearances.

Riding for the Pramac team, another satellite Ducati runner, Martin claimed his maiden victory in the premier class in that year's Styrian Grand Prix.

Despite missing four races through injury, Martin ended the year as top rookie, in ninth place overall.

He was ninth again in 2022, picking up four podium finishes and again advertising his raw speed by claiming pole positions in the final three races of the season.

Martin enjoyed a breakthrough season last year, fighting Bagnaia for the title throughout the year. He claimed four victories in an open year, and led the championship standings after the 13th round of the season, the Indonesian Grand Prix, before ending the year as runner-up.

Staying with Pramac for 2024, Martin gets his hands on the brand new Ducati and could go one better this season, particularly if he can cut out the crashes.

Enea Bastianini

Current Outright Odds - 11/1

Enea Bastianini was promoted to the Ducati factory team last season after finishing an impressive third with Gresini in 2022.

However, an accident in the opening Portuguese Grand Prix sprint race resulted in a fractured shoulder blade and he was forced to miss the first five races of the season.

Bastianini returned in Italy, but in Catalonia six races later he was hurt again after triggering a first-corner pile up and missed the next three races.

He was finally able to show what he was capable of with a commanding victory in Malaysia in November, and that could be a sign that he is ready to banish the nightmare of 2023 this season.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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