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MotoGP German Grand Prix: Prediction, Tips and Odds

World champion Francesco Bagnaia reduced the gap to championship leader Jorge Martin to 10 points with his victory in the Dutch TT last week and is now looking to secure a fourth successive Grand Prix win in Germany on Sunday.

MotoGP German Grand Prix

MotoGP German Grand Prix betting tips and predictions

Francesco Bagnaia to win - 2/1

The big three of the 2024 MotoGP Championship - Martin, Bagnaia and Marc Marquez - are at the top of the standings and the race odds for this week's German Grand Prix at the Sachsenring.

It's the last chance for each of them to send a message to their rivals before the summer break, with the British Grand Prix at Silverstone on 4th August, and they won't want to waste it with the title race being so tight.

Last season's runner-up Martin leads the standings by 10 points, even though 2022 and 2023 world champion Bagnaia has won five of the eight races so far, including each of the last three at Barcelona, Mugello and Assen.

Six-time champion Marquez is a further 48 points behind Bagnaia and has yet to win this season, but he has looked in better shape than at any time since the injuries that dogged him over the past few seasons and seems ready to strike.

Marquez is the favourite this week due to his excellent record at the track, as he dominated in Germany in the junior categories and MotoGP throughout the 2010s and also won his first race back after arm surgery there in 2021.

He had a poor weekend in Germany in his final season with Honda last year, qualifying seventh, finishing 11th in the sprint and failing to start the race after breaking his thumb in the morning warm-up session.

All three contenders are on the right bike as eight of the first nine home last year were riding Ducatis. There was little between Bagnaia and Martin at the track last season, as the Italian took pole but the Spanish rider won the sprint race from sixth on the grid. 

There was a mere 0.064 seconds between them when they flashed across the line in the main race, with Martin just ahead again, but Bagnaia could get his revenge this year.

Martin has not been able to match Pecco at the last three races, finishing second, third and second since his second victory of the season in the French Grand Prix in May.

With Bagnaia having won four of the last five races, he looks worth backing at decent odds. This track may not be one of his favourites on the calendar but his bike has looked strong at most circuits and he should be in the mix again.

Enea Bastianini each-way - 16/1

With three each-way places on offer for the German Grand Prix it's also worth considering some of the riders at bigger prices and Enea Bastianini merits a close look.

Bagnaia's team-mate is fourth in the championship standings and has finished in the top five at seven of the eight races this season.

The Italian has been on the podium four times already, including second in Italy and third in the Netherlands on his last two outings.

His results would be even better if he could improve his form in qualifying, which has left him with more work to do on Sundays than he would like.

Bastianini's runner-up spot in his home race at Mugello was secured from fourth on the grid, while he put on a masterclass of overtaking at Assen to finish third, just seven seconds behind Bagnaia, despite starting the race down in 10th.

Fabio Di Giannantonio each-way - 28/1

Fabio Di Giannantonio has yet to step onto the podium this season, but he has been getting closer and has been remarkably consistent in his performances, finishing in the top seven at seven of the eight races.

Fourth place at Assen last time out was his best result of the campaign. After qualifying sixth and finishing fifth in the sprint race, he was fourth on the grid for the main event and was close behind Bastianini in the same position at the finish.

The VR46 rider is not yet sure which team he will be riding for next season, but if he maintains the standards of his recent performances he should be in demand.

Yamaha's Alex Rins will miss this race due to a broken wrist. His place will be taken by Australian Remy Gardner.

MotoGP German Grand Prix odds

Marc Marquez - 6/4
Francesco Bagnaia -
2/1
Jorge Martin -
11/4
Enea Bastianini -
16/1
Maverick Vinales -
18/1
Pedro Acosta -
20/1
Alex Marquez -
22/1
Brad Binder -
22/1
Jack Miller -
28/1
Fabio Di Giannantonio -
28/1
Marco Bezzecchi -
50/1
Aleix Espargaro -
50/1

View the full market and more odds for the MotoGP German Grand Prix on site

More information on the MotoGP German Grand Prix, including the schedule, how to watch and weather forecast.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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