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Mexico v Poland and France v Australia: Liam Flin's betting tips

Day three of the World Cup concludes with two intriguing contests as Mexico and Poland lock horns in a key clash in Group C before defending champions France get their campaign underway against Australia in Group D.

Tournament pedigree should benefit Mexico

What: Mexico v Poland, World Cup Group C

Where: Stadium 974, Doha

When: 16.00pm, Tuesday 22nd November 2022

How to watch: BBC1

Odds: Mexico 17/10, Draw 2/1, Poland 15/8

Many expect Argentina to come out on top in Group C, while Saudi Arabia are fancied to finish bottom of the section, meaning Mexico and Poland's clash at Stadium 974 in Doha could act as a straight shootout for second spot.

Only 13 places separate the sides in the Fifa world rankings and the odds suggest a close game with Mexico 17/10 to come out on top and Poland 15/8 to win. The draw is 2/1.

But upon closer inspection, Mexico look like the better selection with their superior experience and tournament pedigree likely to give them the edge.

Mexico have made it out of their group in each of their last seven World Cups and goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa and midfielder Andres Guardado have featured in four of those tournaments.

They have also won their opening match at five of the last six World Cups and know better than many how to get out of the group.

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As for Poland, they have crashed out at this stage at each of their last two major tournaments - the 2018 World Cup and Euro 2020 - and Robert Lewandowski could struggle to carry the team on his own.

The prolific Pole has often struggled to translate his club form to the international scene, having never scored a World Cup goal. He is 7/4 to find the net anytime in this match.

The Polish defence, meanwhile, looked pretty unconvincing in the recent Nations League, conceding 12 goals in six matches in a section featuring Netherlands, Belgium and Wales.

Mexico manager Gerardo Martino has labelled himself as "public enemy number one" previously with the team having come under fire for defeats in the finals of the Concacaf Gold Cup and Nations League.

But they go into this tournament with an estimated fan following of 60,000 in Qatar, have more experience than Poland and can also boast two dangerous forwards in Alexis Vega and Hirving Lozano, even if Raul Jimenez's form and fitness are of concern.

With all things considered, the 17/10 on offer for a Mexico win therefore looks worth taking up.

France can shut out underwhelming Socceroos

What: France v Australia, World Cup Group D

Where: Al Janoub Stadium, Al-Wakrah

When: 19.00pm, Tuesday 22nd November 2022

How to watch: BBC1

Odds: France 2/7, Draw 9/2, Australia 12/1

France's build-up to the World Cup has been dominated by a catalogue of injuries with Ballon d'Or winner Karim Benzema the latest to have been ruled out of the tournament with a thigh injury.

Les Bleus also have to make do without Paul Pogba, N'Golo Kante, Presnel Kimpembe and Christopher Nkunku in Qatar but they should nonetheless make a winning start to Group D against a weak Australia side.

The Socceroos have crashed out at the group stage in each of the last three World Cups, winning only one match in that time, and their latest squad looks the most uninspiring yet.

The team looks pretty devoid of quality going forwards with 31-year-old Matthew Leckie the top scorer in the squad with 13 goals in 73 appearances.

They finished only one point ahead of Oman in their World Cup qualifying section before edging past Peru on penalties in the inter-confederation playoffs and they could look out of their depth in this one.

France were not exactly explosive on their way to lifting the trophy in Russia with their four group games producing a total of only four goals and a France win to nil could represent value at 5/6.

Kylian Mbappe was France's most impressive player at the last World Cup, scooping the young player of the tournament award, and the Paris Saint-Germain striker has only gone from strength to strength since.

The absences of Nkunku and Benzema place even more importance on Mbappe going into this tournament and he is a fine bet to open the scoring against Australia at 13/5.

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