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Dave Randall
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Horse racing tips: Kot and Run at Kempton

After the storms, Sunday afternoon is forecast to be sunny and relatively calm at Kempton, and Racing Post tipster Dave Randall outlines his best bets from the action.

The ground is described as good and it seems sensible to concentrate on the Sunbury jumping fare without much fear of the card being lost to the elements despite some likely rain on Saturday afternoon.

Dave Randall's tips

2.20 Kempton - Kotmask @ 13/2
4.40 Kempton - Island Run @ 7/2

2.20 Kempton - Kotmask @ 13/2

Dan Skelton, Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson are represented in the Class 4 seven-runner 2m2f novice handicap chase at Kempton (2.20).

bet365 are offering 1/5 odds three places each-way, suggesting any interesting contenders away from those leading yards may constitute some betting value on those palatable terms. 

Gary Moore is no stranger to saddling winners over fences at the Sunbury venue, and he had a double on the Flat at Brighton on Thursday, which is a positive pointer to the health of his string. 

The West Sussex handler is represented by KOTMASK, who is returning from a 228-day break on his chasing debut. 

The five-year-old gelding won two of his nine starts over hurdles, which is a bonus when considering almost all of his close relatives have won over fences. 

The first of those hurdles wins came from a prominent pitch throughout, over a similar trip at Fontwell, on his first start in Britain after an 180-day break, before making virtually all in the Class 2 Chatters Fen Juvenile Hurdle at Huntingdon in January 2022. 

He also performed with credit when fourth on his seasonal reappearance in a Class 2 handicap hurdle at Ascot last season from a 4lb higher mark than for this assignment. 

His best Racing Post Rating over hurdles (118) was achieved on good ground over 2.5f further than here at Plumpton in February when finishing second to Thirtyfourstitches, now rated 131. 

The gelded son of Masked Marvel, a sire whose progeny are 8-37 in handicap chases, seems pretty versatile in terms of ground requirements and should attack this new test with relish. 

If he proves as suited to this new discipline as seems likely, he certainly has the ability to be competitive from a mark of 114.

Dave Randall's tip:

Kotmask @ 13/2 - 1pt each-way

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4.40 Kempton - Island Run @ 7/2

Another chasing debutant catches the eye after a break in the Class 4 3m handicap chase at Kempton (4.40), and once again bet365 are offering 1/5 odds three places each-way in this seven-runner contest. 

ISLAND RUN is representing the newly-formed training partnership of Philip Hobbs and Johnson White, who have had a winner and a third from their two runners since the start of October. 

Island Run is a winner of two of his 10 starts over hurdles and has twice finished a close second over 3m on this course on testing and decent ground. 

He first caught my eye as a promising future chasing type when returning from a break with a really likeable jumping and staying success over this sort of trip at Wincanton in the spring. 

Sarah Hobbs described him as "a nice horse that jumps well, who should go chasing next season" to confirm that impression in the aftermath of that Wincanton success. 

The second and fifth that day and have franked the form by going up the ratings subsequently. 

The selection's dam and his three half-brothers all won over fences, and his sire Blue Bresil's progeny have a 54% strike-rate over fences compared to 42% over the smaller obstacles.

Dave Randall's tip:

Island Run @ 7/2 - 1pt each-way

Dave Randall's tips

2.20 Kempton - Kotmask @ 13/2
4.40 Kempton - Island Run @ 7/2

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