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Horse racing tips: Graeme Rodway's York day four tips

Racing Post tipster Robbie Wilders secured one winner and two places from his three selections on the first day of the York Ebor meeting, Graeme Rodway returns with four tips on day four of the festival.

Read all our daily tipping previews for York's Ebor Festival

York Ebor Festival Day One Tips
York Ebor Festival Day Two Tips
York Ebor Festival Day Three Tips

York Ebor Festival Day Four Tips

2.25 York - Lordship @ 4/1
3.35 York - Berkshire Rocco @ 25/1
4.10 York - Summerghand @ 7/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

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2.25 York - Lordship @ 4/1

William Haggas is having a fantastic week and the red-hot trainer appears to have outstanding claims with the progressive Lordship in the Melrose Handicap (2.25).

Haggas has won two of the last four runnings of this race and Lordship has shown rapidly progressive form on quick ground this summer, completing a hat-trick at Haydock last time.

That was a hot contest and Lordship had some of these rivals behind that day. He will need to improve again to follow up in this stronger race off a 9lb higher, but was well on top at the finish and remains unexposed. There should be plenty of further progress to come from him.

Provided the rain stays away, Lordship should be difficult to beat and stable jockey Tom Marquand appears to prefer him to stablemate Alhambra Palace. That looks like a tip in itself.

Graeme Rodway's tip:

2.25 York - Lordship @ 4/1 - 1pt win

3.35 York - Berkshire Rocco @ 25/1

Sweet William is a warm order for the Ebor Handicap (3.35), but the market hasn't missed him and it's worth taking a chance on Berkshire Rocco running a big race at a huge price.

He was good enough to compete in Group-company as a three-year-old and ran one of his best races at this course when fourth in the Great Voltigeur behind the top-class Pyledriver.

His two highest Racing Post Ratings came over this trip, when winning the Listed Noel Murless at Ascot and finishing a neck second in the 2020 St Leger behind Galileo Chrome.

Berkshire Rocco isn't the force of old, but his rating reflects that and he bounced back to form when second in the Shergar Cup Stayers at Ascot last time under Matthew Chadwick.

In-form jockey Callum Hutchinson takes over in the plate claiming 3lb and Berkshire Rocco has evidently been trained to peak for this race. He might be capable of springing a surprise.

Graeme Rodway's tip:

Berkshire Rocco @ 25/1 - 1pt each-way

4.10 York - Summerghand @ 7/1

The Constantine Handicap (4.10) is one of the most competitive sprints of the week and it's surely only a matter of time before Summerghand wins again. This might just be his big day.

He won this race last year off a mark of 97 and almost took advantage of a fall back to that rating in the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon last week. He beat all bar Sophia's Starlight on that occasion and the front two pulled two-and-a-half-lengths clear of the rest, so it's strong form.

The handicapper has put him back up 5lb in the weights, but Summerghand won the Ayr Gold Cup off this rating last season when he beat the Group performer Commanche Falls.

A reproduction of that form would probably be good enough for Summerghand to get his head back in front and he is clearly back at his peak. It will take a smart horse to beat him.

Graeme Rodway's tip:

Summerghand @ 7/1 - 1pt win

Graeme Rodway's tips:

2.25 York - Lordship @ 4/1
3.35 York - Berkshire Rocco @ 25/1
4.10 York - Summerghand @ 7/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

View the latest Horse Racing Odds

York Ebor Festival Day Three Tips

2.25 York - Giavellotto @ 7/1
3.00 York - Emperor’s Son @ 12/1
3.00 York - Power Mode @ 22/1 
4.10 York - Youngest @ 8/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

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2.25 York - Giavellotto @ 7/1

The Group 2 Lonsdale Cup sees Quickthorn renew rivalry with four of the first six horses who followed him home in the Goodwood Cup last time. 

He produced a dominant front-running display off a soft lead there, but is unlikely to get things all his own way again and I’d expect at least one or two to reverse the Goodwood form with him. The most appealing option at the prices is GIAVELLOTTO, who is 1-1 at York following a strong-staying success in the Yorkshire Cup in May. 

Giavellotto came home in fifth at Goodwood, but he only finished half a length off the second and again served notice of his ability to stay on strongly. 

The run also came following a 74-day midsummer break, so it is reasonable to expect a little chunk of improvement from this progressive four-year-old, who remains quite unexposed over marathon distances. The prices do not reflect his chance in relation to the likes of Coltrane, Courage Mon Ami and Quickthorn.

Robbie Wilders’ tip:

Giavellotto @ 7/1 - 1pt each-way

3.00 York - Emperor’s Son @ 12/1
3.00 York - Power Mode @ 22/1

The Acomb Stakes saw a big-priced winner on Wednesday and I’m predicting another upset in the Gimcrack with EMPEROR’S SUN and POWER MODE nominated as two who can go well at prices. 

Emperor’s Son has become something of a forgotten horse, but managed to beat Gimcrack favourite Kylian on his debut despite the fact he was less experienced than the second and almost wiped out at the start. 

The way Emperor’s Son finished that day suggested he was the better long-term prospect and he deserves another chance to cement that impression at York. While his midfield Coventry Stakes finish when last seen lacked much inspiration, that was only his second outing and it is still early days with him. 

A 66-day break might have done him the world of good. Power Mode impressed when scoring on his debut at Yarmouth for Amy Murphy in July and was thrown in at the deep end next time at Deauville in the Group 3 Prix de Cabourg. 

Elite Status, one of the leading juvenile sprinters, had too much toe for him there, but the race was slowly run and my selection made some nice late headway from off the pace. 

An end-to-end gallop over 6f on quicker ground is expected to provide the catalyst for an improved effort from Power Mode, who is by top-class US dirt sprinter Speightstown. Oisin Murphy is also an eyeeye-catchingcatching jockey booking.

Robbie Wilders’ tip:

Emperor’s Son @ 12/1 - 1pt win 
Power Mode @ 22/1 - 1pt win

4.10 York - Youngest @ 8/1

A 1m2f fillies’ handicap concludes the live ITV action on Friday and a chance is taken on YOUNGEST each-way for Roger Varian. This daughter of Dubawi won nicely on her debut at Leicester last September before struggling up in class in the Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes, failing to live up to an 11/2 SP. 

She has been slow to come to hand this season, but showed she was back on the right path when seventh of 18 at odds of 66/1 in a messy mile handicap on good to soft ground at Glorious Goodwood after getting no run when it mattered. 

She finished resolutely when in the clear, though, and can strike off the same mark of 83. Her pedigree is also worth bearing in mind as she is out of the same connections’ Sheikha Reika, who was beaten in a handicap off 88 before taking her form to a new level at the end of her three-year-old campaign, plundering the Grade 1 EP Taylor Stakes at Woodbine. 

With that breeding she is potentially seriously well handicapped and her lightly-raced profile remains after just five runs. Fast ground over middle distances could be exactly what she needs.

Robbie Wilders’ tip:

Youngest @ 8/1 - 1pt each-way

Robbie Wilders’ tips:

2.25 York - Giavellotto @ 7/1
3.00 York - Emperor’s Son @ 12/1
3.00 York - Power Mode @ 22/1 
4.10 York - Youngest @ 8/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

View the latest Horse Racing Odds

York Ebor Festival Day Two Tips

The second day of York’s Ebor meeting takes place on Thursday and Racing Post tipster Graeme Rodway returns with his best bets for the ITV action.

1.50 York - Relief Rally @ 2/1
2.25 York - Dragon Leader @ 13/2
3.00 York - The Gatekeeper @ 14/1
3.35 York - Savethelastdance @ 7/2
4.10 York - Moracana @ 7/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

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1.50 York - Relief Rally @ 2/1

The Lowther Stakes (1.50) usually goes to speed and there hasn’t looked a quicker juvenile filly than Relief Rally in Britain this season. She can land her first success in Group company.

Relief Rally is unlucky not to be coming here unbeaten as her head was in front both before and after the line for her sole defeat in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, but she lost it on the bob behind Crimson Advocate. She made amends for that defeat in the Super Sprint last time.

The daughter of Kodiac went off a red-hot evens favourite and she stormed through to win going away by three lengths. She was strong at the finish there, so this extra furlong will suit.

This will be her first start on quick ground, but her brother Koropick showed his best form on fast conditions and that gives enough encouragement to think she might be even better on it.

Graeme Rodway’s tip:

Relief Rally @ 2/1 - 1pt win

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2.25 York - Dragon Leader @ 13/2

The Goffs UK Harry Beeby Premier Yearling Stakes (2.25) looks like a wide-open race at first glance, but the reality is there are huge gaps in ability between the runners and Dragon Leader appears to have outstanding claims following a couple of cosy victories at Salisbury.

The Clive Cox-trained colt overcame greenness to come from last-to-first to land a 6f novice on quick ground on his debut and he was even better when defying a penalty there last time.

Dragon Leader raced more prominently on that occasion and fought back well to see off runner-up American Bay by a nose. The front two pulled four-lengths clear of the remainder.

Ryan Moore is an eyecatching 10-34 for the Cox stable in recent seasons and his booking is a positive. Dragon Leader is capable of taking another step forward and going three from three.

Graeme Rodway’s tip:

Dragon Leader @ 13/2 - 1pt win

3.00 York - The Gatekeeper @ 14/1

The Clipper Handicap (3.00) has attracted another big field and The Gatekeeper makes the most appeal following his superb second in the Golden Mile at Goodwood three weeks ago.

Blue For You finished second in that race at Goodwood before coming on to win this last year and The Gatekeeper looks to be progressing well enough to emulate that reopposing rival.

His Goodwood second came quickly after another good runner-up effort at Newmarket just a week previously and those two runs represented back-to-back career-best efforts on RPRs.

The Gatekeeper is evidently in the form of his life and William Buick is an eyecatching jockey booking for the Charlie Johnston team. That could easily prove to be a tip in itself.

Graeme Rodway’s tip:

The Gatekeeper @ 14/1 - 1pt win

3.35 York - Savethelastdance @ 7/2

The Pertemps Network Yorkshire Oaks (3.35) is the feature race and Savethelastdance might be capable of following up her victory in the Irish Oaks on this significantly quicker ground.

The Galileo filly has shown all of her best form on a soft surface, but she was good enough to finish second in the Oaks at Epsom on good to firm going and that suggests she can handle it.

The key to her appears to be stamina as she needed every yard of the 1m4f trip to score at the Curragh last time and this long straight often brings staying power into play. There is every chance she will come under pressure early, but there is plenty of time to hit top gear at York.

If, as expected, the track brings her stamina into play then she should prove too strong in the closing stages and top jockey Ryan Moore can be trusted to have her in front when it matters.

Graeme Rodway’s tip:

Savethelastdance @ 7/2 - 1pt win

4.10 York - Moracana @ 7/1

The British EBF & Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (4.10) is the last race on ITV and it’s worth taking a chance on the progressive Moracana finding the improvement required.

Moracana was a top-class handicapper last season in Ireland and she has made the step up in grade this season, landing a Listed race at Cork before recording back-to-back career bests.

She was beaten only three and three-quarter lengths into fourth in a hot Listed contest at the Curragh in May and then shaped better than her finishing position at Royal Ascot last time.

Moracana made a mess of the start and ended up poorly positioned in the Duke of Edinburgh, she then found trouble in running at a key stage. However, she finished the race well to take fifth.

That was the closest she got to the winner and there could be more to come provided she gets a clean run through, especially as that was her first run on ground this quick and she liked it.

Graeme Rodway’s tip:

Moracana @ 7/1 - 1pt win

Graeme Rodway’s tips

1.50 York - Relief Rally @ 2/1
2.25 York - Dragon Leader @ 13/2
3.00 York - The Gatekeeper @ 14/1
3.35 York - Savethelastdance @ 7/2
4.10 York - Moracana @ 7/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

View the latest Horse Racing Odds

York Ebor Festival Day One Tips

The four-day Ebor meeting at York kicks off on Wednesday and Racing Post tipster Robbie Wilders is in the chair to provide his three best bets.

Robbie Wilders’ tips:

1.50 York - Alligator Alley @ 10/1
1.50 York - Makanah @ 20/1
3.35 York - The Foxes @ 16/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

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1.50 York - Alligator Alley @ 10/1
1.50 York - Makanah @ 20/1

A 5½f sprint handicap kicks off the card at York and the 20-runner race has an ideal shape to it for an each-way bet, with bet365 paying six places.

York produces its fair share of course specialists and the two I will be siding with love it on the Knavesmire. 

The first is former Julia Graves Roses Stakes winner ALLIGATOR ALLEY, who has slipped to a mark of 91, some 15lb lower than his official rating in February.

That drop in the weights does not align with Alligator Alley’s recent performances. The six-year-old hinted at a revival when third to Bond Chairman off a reduced mark of 94 on his favoured fast ground at Doncaster in June, and then missed an engagement in July at Pontefract due to slower conditions.

A surface described as good to soft did not preclude Alligator Alley from running at Goodwood recently, and he did remarkably well to grab third after racing keenly in the early stages on terrain he would not have enjoyed. That has earned him another 2lb drop and he should have the race run to suit back on a sound surface.

MAKANAH’s course form is even better. He has form figures of 5-5-2-4 in 21+ runner sprint handicaps at York and has slipped to a mark 5lb lower than when he was an eye-catching fifth in this race last year, having been denied a clear run at a crucial stage.

His recent midfield finish on unsuitability heavy ground in the Stewards’ Cup at Goodwood can be ignored and this has surely been the long-term aim.

Robbie Wilders’ tips:

Alligator Alley @ 10/1 - 1pt each-way 
Makanah @ 20/1 - 1pt each-way

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3.35 York - The Foxes @ 16/1

A four-runner field is quite a poor turnout for the feature Group 1 Juddmonte International, but the race is still fascinating and Paddington, the standout horse of the season on the Flat, is odds-on to extend his Group 1 haul.

It is difficult to argue with those quotes, but there is little doubt his level dipped in the Sussex Stakes last time when he made hard work of beating a French-trained horse, who was previously rated 113 and conceding 7lb to the winner. 

Paddington is passed over at the prices, while second favourite Mostahdaf needs to prove his triumph in a weak Prince of Wales’s Stakes was no flash in the pan. Everything panned out perfectly for him at Royal Ascot and this potentially tactical affair at a different track may not play to his strengths.

Nashwa is next in the betting, but she is better over a mile and her profile suggests she falls short of this level over 1m2f.

That leaves THE FOXES, who undoubtedly ought to be a single-figure price for this. The Andrew Balding-trained three-year-old gets weight from the older horses and is the only course winner in the line-up, having landed a top running of the Dante over track and trip in May.

His subsequent fifth in the Derby was a fine effort considering he failed to stay the 1m4f trip, while he returned to the level of his Dante success when sent stateside for the Belmont Derby in July.

That he was beaten by just a length after missing the break from the widest gate at a tight track like Belmont Park was to his credit, and this fast-ground-lover appears to have everything in his favour.

The Foxes is the only horse in the field who remains open to clear improvement and if this is a race too far for Paddington, he can be the one to capitalise at the expense of the two better-fancied alternatives in the market.

Robbie Wilders’ tip:

The Foxes @ 16/1 - 1pt win

Robbie Wilders’ tips:

1.50 York - Alligator Alley @ 10/1
1.50 York - Makanah @ 20/1
3.35 York - The Foxes @ 16/1

Odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and subject to fluctuation.

View the latest Horse Racing Odds

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