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Robbie Wilders
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Horse racing tips: A Strong chance of success at Ascot

Robbie Wilders from the Racing Post provides three tips for an intriguing card at Ascot on Saturday.

Robbie Wilders' tips:

2.05 Ascot - Strong Leader @ 6/1
2.40 Ascot - Miss Milano @ 4/1
3.15 Ascot - Frere D'Armes @ 5/1

2.05 Ascot - Strong Leader @ 6/1

Goshen is the early favourite for the Grade 2 hurdle, but is never one to trust at a short price. 

He has been a beaten favourite in six starts since his agonising fall at the last when set to win the 2021 Triumph Hurdle, and didn't give punters much of a run for their money when disappointing on his return in the Cesarewitch. He was quite well fancied that day on his optimum ground too.

Goshen picks up a 6lb penalty for winning this last year, but I reckon that was a weaker running and the ground at Ascot will be quicker than he ideally wants it, while regular partner Jamie Moore being on the sidelines has to be a concern.

The one to take him on with is STRONG LEADER for Olly Murphy. 

While this six-year-old disappointed when sent off the 3/1 joint-favourite for the Welsh Champion Hurdle on his return, 2m is too sharp for him nowadays, as he proved when a keeping-on second to Inthepocket in the Top Novices' Hurdle on his previous outing in the spring.

He was eight lengths down jumping the last and bridged the gap to the winner significantly while being rousted along throughout the contest to keep up. 

The extra half-mile at Ascot is in his favour, while there is plenty of stamina throughout his pedigree. 

This could be his time to shine in receipt of 6lb from Goshen on a fast surface he has scored on before.  

Robbie Wilders' tip:

Strong Leader @ 6/1 - 1pt win

2.40 Ascot - Miss Milano @ 4/1

The following mares' hurdle is competitive but looks like a decent opportunity for MISS MILANO to regain the winning thread for Nicky Richards, who is a rare visitor to Ascot.

The trainer has only saddled two runners at the Berkshire track over the past five years and his sole entry on the card looks worth playing under good-value 5lb claimer Connor Rabbitt. 

Miss Milano landed three of her four races last season but, judging by her fourth at Wetherby on her return, her progression has continued. 

A bad mistake two from home put paid to her chances of getting involved there, but she was closing all the time to the front three. 

Three miles on good ground is what this eight-year-old needs and the form of that Wetherby event is looking stronger now with the second coming out and winning nicely at 14/1 recently. She should go close. 

Robbie Wilders' tip:

Miss Milano @ 4/1 - 1pt win

3.15 Ascot - Frere D'Armes @ 5/1

Tingle Creek entry Boothill will have plenty of admirers after landing a soft-ground course-and-distance race here a few weeks ago in which he beat three of these, but he will have a trickier task on his hands at the revised weights.

The one who appeals as likeliest to reverse the form is FRERE D'ARMES for the Dan Skelton team. 

Frere D'Armes could manage only fifth that day, but that doesn't tell the full story, as he travelled smartly well into the contest before blowing up as if the run was needed. He even hit an in-running low of 3.4.

I'm sure the effort will have brought him forward and this better ground should suit him better than most. 

There are a few who like to press on here, and they could set it up for a strong-travelling closer to pounce late. 

Frere D'Armes looks the ideal candidate off bottom weight, with Tristan Durrell claiming 5lb off him. 

Robbie Wilders' tip:

Frere D'Armes @ 5/1 - 1pt win

Robbie Wilders' tips

2.05 Ascot - Strong Leader @ 6/1
2.40 Ascot - Miss Milano @ 4/1
3.15 Ascot - Frere D'Armes @ 5/1

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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