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Tingle Creek outright odds: Jonbon out to justify 2/7 favouritism

Sandown hosts its famous two-day Tingle Creek meeting this weekend, concluding on Saturday when the Grade 1 Tingle Creek Chase itself is the feature race on a brilliant card.

The 1m71/2f race, set to start at 3pm, is well-regarded in the world of horse racing and it is understandable to see why, with the winner earning a prize of just under £100,000.

It is a contest for four-year-olds, or older, and the 13-fence chase has attracted five runners this time around, including last year’s winner Edwardstone.

Paul Nicholls has been responsible for 12 winners of the Tingle Creek Chase, the most by any trainer, with his most recent success coming with Greaneteen in 2021 - though he has no entrants in this year’s renewal.

With the ground already soft and more rain forecast for Saturday, it promises to be an intriguing running of this great contest and the odds for the 2023 Tingle Creek Chase, along with some context for each runner, can be found below.

2023 Tingle Creek Chase odds

Jonbon2/7
Edwardstone11/2
Boothill12/1
Haddex Des Obeaux14/1
Nube Negra25/1

Jonbon

Current odds - 2/7

The Nicky Henderson-trained Jonbon heads the market for the Tingle Creek Chase and, given the class he has shown in his seven runs over fences to date, it is not surprising to see that.

He caught the eye immediately in his career when winning novice hurdles at Newbury, Ascot and Haydock, before being beaten by only the dominant Constitution Hill in his first run at Cheltenham back in 2022.

Jonbon recovered by winning the Top Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree the next time out before switching obstacles, and he has not looked back since. 

He has won six of his seven runs over fences, with the only blemish on that record a second to El Fabiolo at the Cheltenham Festival earlier this year, and has impressed on plenty of occasions.

A 43-length win at the Grand National meeting followed that second and he beat Edwardstone, second in the betting for this chase and last year’s winner, by nine-and-a-half lengths at Cheltenham last month. 

Jonbon has never lost at Sandown, with both runs coming over the same distance as this contest, and looks like a generational two-miler - he is not easily opposed.

Edwardstone

Current odds - 11/2

Edwardstone was the 5/1 winner of this contest last year, beating the previous year’s winner Greaneteen by nine lengths, but nothing has gone right for Paul Nicholls’ nine-year-old since.

He unseated Tom Cannon in the Desert Orchid Chase at Kempton in his follow-up race, before posting form figures of 252 in a trio of runs at Cheltenham prior to this contest, losing to the re-opposing Jonbon in the latest of those losses.

Edwardstone had a good to soft going to attack last year. but all of his subsequent defeats came on soft ground and, with more rain forecast, he may struggle with the conditions underfoot on Saturday.

A return to form at a course he is unbeaten at is not out of the question, but he does have a huge amount to find to reverse the form with Jonbon, who looks a cut above this gelding at current. 

Boothill

Current odds - 12/1

The Harry Fry-trained Boothill has enjoyed a good preparation for the Tingle Creek Chase, winning back-to-back races at Ascot last month.

However, those wins both came over 2m1f in races where he finished strongly, suggesting he will need to find an extra gear if he is to keep up with Jonbon over this reduced trip, with that competitor beating him by eight lengths in their last meeting over course and distance.

There are ground concerns too, with his best form all coming on quicker ground, although the latter of those back-to-back wins did come on a soft going.

Jockey Jonathan Burke is retained who, when paired with Boothill, has never finished outside the top three in nine runs, so there is a chance the rider could keep the gelding competitive - even if a win looks unlikely.

Haddex Des Obeaux

Current odds - 14/1

In contrast to Boothill, Gary Moore’s Haddex Des Obeaux flopped on his sole run of the season to date, falling at the last at Cheltenham in October, despite being a 5/2 favourite.

If ignoring that run, the gelding’s form looks solid enough and he has won on both occasions when running on either soft or heavy ground, so he is certainly one to consider if the rain arrives in Surrey.

His jumping was far from fluent in that Cheltenham race, although that could be attributed to it being a first appearance of the season after 287 days off, and he will need to improve that aspect of his game if he is to be victorious in this much tougher assignment.

His usual jockey Jamie Moore is suspended too, meaning the less-established Jack Tudor is in the saddle, and that could affect his performance furthermore.

A six-year-old has not won the Tingle Creek Chase since Defi Du Seuil in 2019, so Haddex Des Obeaux has a tough task ahead, but may outrun his odds, especially if the ground continues to soften.

Nube Negra

Current odds - 25/1

The biggest price in the five-runner field belongs to Nube Negra and it is no shock that that is the case.

The Dan Skelton-trained gelding’s only win in his last six efforts was a three-runner race at Cheltenham in 2022 and he looks well below the level of these rivals, especially the top two in the market.

The nine-year-old has lost by 12 and 15 lengths in his two runs at this course and was over 16 lengths behind Jonbon in his warm-up race last month.

25/1 looks plenty big enough and Nube Negra can be readily opposed.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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