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US Masters: Odds to win

Nicklaus, Woods, Palmer, Player, Faldo, Mickleson. Augusta National has hosted some of the game's greatest champions.

While the last 20 years at Augusta National have seen some huge surprises with the likes of Trevor Immelman, Mike Weir, Angel Cabrera and Charl Schwartzel coming out on top, the last few winners have been somewhat more predictable.

The last five victors have been Tiger Woods, Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm, none of whom returned at particularly big prices.

With that in mind, we're looking at some of the frontrunners looking to play their part in the 2024 US Masters.

Scottie Scheffler


A mixed bag in 2023 still saw Scheffler record a T10 finish, extended his streak of consecutive top-20s at Augusta to four. A stone-cold putter on day one still had him in contention, but a difficult second round ruled him out of contention. 

Considering he barely had his b-game and still finished in the top 10, don't be surprised to Scheffler up there again in 2024.

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Rory McIlroy


A desperately disappointing missed cut for Rory McIlroy - his second in three years - meant the wait for the Grand Slam would go on and it's starting to look like the US Masters may be beyond the Northern Irishman.

Though similar was said about Sergio Garcia in majors before his success at Augusta, with people also writing off Tiger Woods' chances of another major before his 2019 win.

He's still got the ideal game for Augusta, and will once again be one of the favourites in 2024.

Jon Rahm


Prior to the 2023 Masters, Jon Rahm had a record at Augusta to rival most golfers, but his mediocre form coming into the tournament saw him out of the limelight somewhat. 

Nevertheless, despite opening with a double bogey, Rahm stayed in contention throughout, and capitalised on a Sunday collapse by Brooks Koepka to claim a first Augusta success, and it's no surprise he's the current favourite for the 2024 edition.

Jordan Spieth


Perhaps the most unpredictable golfer in the world, the only guarantee with Jordan Spieth at the moment is a wild ride. 

He shared the lead after the first round of the 2023 Sony Open, only to shoot a 75 - 11 shots worse - the following day to miss the cut. He also shot the round of the tournament at the Phoenix Open in round 2 with a 64. More recently, he opened with an eagle in the third round of the Valspar Championship, only to card five birdies and five bogeys in the rest of the round. 

Even at the 2023 Masters, he recorded 21 birdies across the week - two more than winner Rahm - including nine on the final day to record another top-10 finish.

Patrick Cantlay


Though he's not really found himself in contention at majors, Cantlay did record another top-20 finish at the 2023 Masters, despite his glacially slow pace which has attracted plenty of negative attention.

He's clearly got the ability to compete at majors - and Augusta - but his major record is a concern.

Justin Thomas


Though his form wasn't at its highest level coming into the 2023 US Masters, Justin Thomas had plenty of reason to feel confident coming into Augusta considering his record there.

It's what will probably make his disastrous end to his second round - missing the cut by one - even more painful.

But he's certainly got the game for Augusta and will surely find himself in the mix on one Sunday in the future.

Brooks Koepka


Is he back? It certainly seems so. Though there have to be concerns about the nature of some of his more recent major finishes, namely the 2021 US Open and PGA Championship, as well as the 2023 US Masters, where he held a four-shot lead.

Koepka's gone from a killer in majors, to someone there to be hunted. But if he can overcome this seemingly mental hurdle, we may see him in contention again soon enough.

Cameron Smith


Cam Smith's record at Augusta will always make him worth considering, though a disappointing weekend showing in 2023 saw him fall from -2 to +4, failing to crack the top 30.

Though one positive perhaps is the performance of his LIV colleagues, who were written off in many quarters for their lack of competitive golf.

Xander Schauffele


A strong all-round game, has regularly featured in leaderboards in majors, now being considered one of the best players without a major... it's a story we've heard before.

But you can't argue with his major record, nor his Masters record; with two top-threes in his last five appearances - one of which included sharing the lead on the back nine on Sunday before being ousted by a certain Tiger Woods.

A disappointing second round ruled Schauffele out of contention, but he recovered admirably to record another top-10 finish.

Tony Finau


Tony Finau hits it miles and is a solid iron player. Though it wasn't to be in 2023, there's no reason to think he can't add to his three top-10s in six Augusta starts - and potentially go one better.

Collin Morikawa


Unquestionably one of the best ball-strikers in the world, Collin Morikawa is seemingly good enough to overcome an unhelpful fade at Augusta to record solid finishes.

He was fifth in 2022 and 10th in 2023 even though he prefers to fade the ball - not an ideal shot shape for Augusta - isn't particularly long off the tee and has a fairly shaky short game.

That said, with two majors wins in his first eight starts, Morikawa's talent, particularly with iron in hand and especially on the big stage, is undeniable.

Jason Day


After struggling with back issues which threatened to curtail his career, as well as his mother's illness and eventual passing, Day seems to be getting back to his old level, winning his group containing Collin Morikawa at the WGC Match Play, before being beaten 2&1 by Scottie Scheffler in the quarters.

A five-under-par round to start the tournament saw him briefly in contention, but a really poor close to the tournament - which saw Day make four double bogeys en route to a round of 80 saw him finish well down the field.

Dustin Johnson


Although a dismal weekend performance saw Dustin Johnson finish above just four players who made the cut - one of whom was 63-year-old Fred Couples - he's still just about young enough and good enough to be worth considering at the home of one of his two major victories.

Cameron Young


Cam Young continues to build on his increasingly impressive major resume.

After a missed cut on debut, Young's massive driving helped him to a top-10 finish - his third in his last four starts.

Max Homa


In about 12 months, Max Homa has gone from being the funny guy on the PGA TOUR, to one of its best players. 

A terrific ball-striker and strong putter, he's flown up the world rankings and it's hard to see him not making the Ryder Cup team later in the year.

That said, his relative anonymity only a couple of years ago means he doesn't have any stellar major experience to call on, with his Masters finishes reading CUT-CUT-T48-T43, and with him not being the best driver, the rest of his game will need to be near-perfect to contend at Augusta.

Sungjae Im


It's looking easier to chalk Sungjae Im's missed cut at Augusta as the anomaly after two top-10s and a top-20 - the top-20 coming despite having to finish in the torrid conditions on Saturday morning.

An excellent ball-striker with a strong short game, he can certainly compete as we've seen in spite of his limitations off the tee, but questions marks remain. 

Sam Burns


Sam Burns has the incredibly rare trait of being both long off the tee and an excellent putter, and while accuracy doesn't hold much weight at Augusta, he should be a good fit for the US Masters.

However Burns is a golfer who clearly favours one type of grass to another, and it's not what he'll find on Augusta's greens. While he's made the cut in 70% of Bermuda grass and bentgrass events, he's been in the top 25 of nearly half of his Bermudagrass events compared to less than a third on bentgrass.

His opening round of 68 shows promise for the future but a third-round 78 led to a T29 finish.

Viktor Hovland


An elite ball-striker who hits the ball plenty far enough, everyone knows Viktor Hovland's one, glaring weakness - his chipping. There are so many holes around Augusta where you'll need to get up and down for par or birdie, and Hovland simply can't rely on that part of his game.

His record around Augusta reads T32-T21-T27-T7 - solid enough, but perhaps below the level expected of a golfer like Hovland, and his record at majors still leaves lots to be desired, with his best finish being T4 at last year's Open, where he was able to reach a number of greens from the tee and could putt from the ones he missed.

Will Zalatoris


The next major champion in waiting, though how much of a toll his back surgery will have remains to be seen. After joining the Korn Ferry Tour in 2020, Zalatoris's major finishes are an incredible T6-2-T8-CUT-WD-T6-2-T2-T28-WD, including a runner-up finish on his Masters debut.

Even his deeply unsettling putting stroke seems to fix itself for the majors and he's taken well to Augusta's pacey greens. 

Although his form is mediocre, he often saves his best for the big four, and if he continues his strong putting at Augusta, he may well contend again.

Hideki Matsuyama


The 2021 champion certainly had the game for Augusta, with form figures of 5-T7-T11-19-T32-T13 prior to his win, and he finished T14 after winning in 2021, but his form isn't quite what it was when he won here two years ago.

Despite that, an even-par final round would've seen him finish in the top 10. As it was, the final day was a struggle, but the liking for Augusta remains.

Patrick Reed


Patrick Reed was another LIV golfer who showed he's still got it, certainly around Augusta National. 

His magical short game and putting were on display once again, and catapulted him to a T4 finish on Sunday.

Shane Lowry


Shane Lowry admitted he still wanted to learn about Augusta's nuances, and it seems he's very much acclimated to the place. 

His last four finishes read T25-T21-T3-T16 and he'll hope to find himself contending once again. 

Matthew Fitzpatrick


Battling a neck injury throughout the season wasn't ideal prep for Matt Fitzpatrick at the 2023 Masters, but he recorded a solid T10 finish. 

Having changed his game, he's perhaps better suited to the course than in previous years, and he'll hope to be in better condition - and form - next time around.

Tyrrell Hatton 


Despite his good form coming into the event, Tyrrell Hatton openly dislikes Augusta National, and still failed to muster a top-30 finish, and it's perhaps the least likely of the four majors for him to win.

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