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Steve Palmer's PGA Championship: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Rory McIlroy romped to a five-shot victory at Quail Hollow on Sunday, warming up for the second Major of the season in style, and the Racing Post’s Steve Palmer provides his best selections for the PGA Championship.

World number one Scottie Scheffler returns to action, having skipped last week's Wells Fargo Championship to be at the birth of his first child, while Swedish star Ludvig Aberg is also back, having sat out the same event with a knee injury.

PGA Championship

PGA Championship betting tips and predictions

Rory McIlroy to win - 7/1

Four-time Major champion McIlroy has found his A-game at the ideal time to win a third PGA Championship this week. He was magnificent at Quail Hollow last week, destroying a high-class Wells Fargo Championship field, so is bursting with confidence.

The Northern Irishman won his previous two tournaments prior to the 2014 PGA Championship at Valhalla, then triumphed in the Major, so he will be hoping history repeats itself. He won the Zurich Classic pairs event alongside Shane Lowry three weeks ago, before his Quail Hollow masterclass.

The likes of Scheffler and Jon Rahm had not played Valhalla until arriving this week, but McIlroy is course-proven and can hit the ground running. Pre-tournament rain has softened the course, making it perfect for the most powerful player in the field.

Max Homa to win and each-way - 25/1

Eighth place at Quail Hollow last week was another solid effort from Max Homa, who can be fancied to threaten his maiden Major title at Valhalla.

Third place in the Masters a month ago has given the American a huge injection of confidence - he knows he can contend for the game's biggest prizes - and he should build on that Augusta performance with something similar in Kentucky this week.

Homa has shown plenty of courage in the most prestigious team events - he scored four points from four matches on his Presidents Cup debut in 2022 - then three-and-a-half points from five matches on his Ryder Cup debut last year.

Homa's typically laserlike iron-play makes him an enormous threat at Valhalla, which has elevated, well-guarded greens. His last PGA Tour title came at Torrey Pines South - one of the longest courses on the circuit - so he has shown he can handle giant layouts like Valhalla.

Sam Burns to win and each-way - 55/1

Sam Burns started this year impressively, with sixth place in The American Express and third at Pebble Beach, then had a quiet spell in the lead-up to becoming a father. His son was born three weeks ago and in his only start since, he finished 13th in the Wells Fargo Championship.

With the baby pressure lifted, Burns got back into a groove last week, showing off the game which has made him a five-time PGA Tour champion. He has won a World Golf Championship and played in a Ryder Cup, so is comfortable on the biggest stages.

Brooks Koepka - Top LIV player - 3/1

The LIV Golf players teeing up this week may be short of a gallop, having not played a LIV event Stateside since Miami. Long trips to Adelaide and Singapore did not provide great US PGA preparation, but the man who won the last LIV event may be the one who does best at Valhalla.

Brooks Koepka has won three of the last six US PGAs, finishing second in 2021, and should grow into a title contender come the weekend. Expect the defending champion to go close to winning the Wanamaker Trophy again.

Read more golf betting tips and predictions on site.

PGA Championship odds

Scottie Scheffler


Rory McIlroy


Brooks Koepka


Xander Schauffele


Jon Rahm


Ludvig Aberg


Bryson DeChambeau


Max Homa


Collin Morikawa


View the full market and more odds for the PGA Championship on site.

Read PGA Championship 2024: Date, course, previous winners, prize money, field and how to watch.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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