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Ryder Cup Odds: Top Points Scorer, Correct Score, To Lift Trophy and more

Both teams are confirmed and the countdown to the opening ceremony officially begins when we'll find out the foursome pairings for Friday's morning session at the Ryder Cup.

Europe's price has steadily shortened over the months with the hosts reaching Evens as the event draws closer with Luke Donald's men actually marginal favourites over the 21/20 USA.

We've got a whole host of markets ahead of the biennial showdown between Europe and the USA, including top points scorer, margin of victory, to hole the winning putt and who'll go out first and last in singles.

We break some of them down below.

Ryder Cup odds

Top Team Points Scorer First Out in Singles
Margin of Victory Last Out in Singles
Team to Score First Full Point To Hole Winning Putt
Session Winner 

Ryder Cup Top Team Points Scorer Odds

Scottie Scheffler to be top US points scorer9/2
Patrick Cantlay to be top US points scorer11/2
Xander Schauffele to be top US points scorer6/1
Brooks Koepka to be top US points scorer7/1
Colin Morikawa to be top US points scorer17/2
Justin Thomas to be top US points scorer9/1
Max Homa to be top US points scorer10/1
Jordan Spieth to be top US points scorer11/1
Rickie Fowler to be top US points scorer16/1
Sam Burns to be top US points scorer16/1
Wyndham Clark to be top US points scorer18/1
Brian Harman to be top US points scorer35/1
Jon Rahm to be top European points scorer17/4
Rory McIlroy to be top European points scorer9/2
Viktor Hovland to be top European points scorer19/4
Tommy Fleetwood to be top European points scorer13/2
Matt Fitzpatrick to be top European points scorer17/2
Tyrrell Hatton to be top European points scorer9/1
Ludvig Aberg to be top European points scorer10/1
Justin Rose to be top European points scorer14/1
Shane Lowry to be top European points scorer18/1
Sepp Straka to be top European points scorer30/1
Nicolai Hojgaard to be top European points scorer30/1
Robert MacIntyre to be top European points scorer40/1

Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Viktor Hovland and probably Tommy Fleetwood can expect to play each of the first four matches, while the rest of the team are forced to sit out a session - or day.

Considering the disparity in talent between the top and bottom of the European team, the likes of Sepp Straka and Robert MacIntyre may be limited to one match prior to Sunday.

Ludvig Aberg's form - as well as ability off the tee - could see him play two or three matches across both formats, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him link up with a McIlroy, Rahm or Hovland.

Nicolai Hojgaard's extreme length off the tee will likely see him play both four-ball matches and could also be put with one of Europe's better players.

Justin Rose, in part due to age and in part due to form, may be limited to the two foursomes matches on Friday and Saturday, with the same potentially applying to Shane Lowry, though the Irishman could reunite with old pal McIlroy.

On the US side, Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele have not just played together in the 2021 Ryder Cup, but have played together in seven of the last eight Presidents Cup matches, as well as partnering up for the Zurich Classic, winning in 2022.

Both are two of America's most in-form players and it's hard to see them not playing at least three if not four matches together before taking on Sunday's singles. The duo won both of their matches at the 2021 Ryder Cup before going 2-1-0 in the 2022 Presidents Cup.

Marco Simone looks set to put a premium on accurate hitting off the tee with ultra-penal rough punishing wayward drives, but it also favours longer hitters, with Adrian Meronk, Robert MacIntyre and Nicolai Hojgaard winning the last three Italian Opens. 

Should fairway-finding be paramount as expected then Collin Morikawa has to have a big role to play in Rome. The two-time major winner is second on the PGA TOUR in driving accuracy, finding fairways 69.6% of the time - 11% better than tour average - with his iron play as strong as ever. His putting remains a concern, but playing with someone like Max Homa could help with that.

Justin Thomas earned a pick to the US team - to the surprise of some considering his form - and should play with old pal Jordan Spieth for two of the sessions. Unless his form miraculously improves in the next few weeks, playing him in either foursomes session feels like too big of a risk, and he would likely play four-balls alongside Spieth.

Brian Harman perhaps represents the most interesting price, especially with each-way terms of three places at 1/5 odds, at 45/1. Harman isn't guaranteed to play more than two matches, but as someone who finds fairways for fun and can putt the lights out, he could be a perfect foil for Scheffler, though Scheffler's first-choice partner is likely to be Sam Burns, having played together at the Presidents Cup, making Burns' 14/1 attractive.

Ryder Cup Margin of Victory Odds

Europe to win by 1-3 points15/4
Europe to win by 4-6 points11/2
Europe to win by 7+ points6/1
USA to win by 1-3 points15/4
USA to win by 4-6 points19/4
USA to win by 7+ points9/2
Tie12/1

We've seen Europe go off favourites on American soil; we've seen America go off favourites on European soil. We've seen Europe win in America; we've seen America win in Europe. We've seen European blowouts; we've seen American blowouts.

What we'll see this year is anyone's guess.

The USA on paper have the slightly stronger side, but their complete absence of form in Europe is a big mark against their name. Europe's top three in Rahm, McIlroy and Hovland is every bit as their counterparts in Scheffler, Schauffele and Cantlay, though it's lower down the order where the Americans look stronger.

Morikawa, Homa, Koepka and Fowler look very dangerous, and it'll be up to the likes of Fleetwood, Hatton, Fitzpatrick and Lowry to keep pace.

Team to Score First Full Point Odds

It might sound like a bit of a lottery at this stage, but the team to score first full point market can offer a bit of early value with both teams priced up at 5/6.

It's almost a given that Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele will play together throughout the week, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the USA's marquee pairing going out first on Friday.

Europe, too, will look to start strong, but the four-balls will be a good opportunity to blood some rookies, especially the big-hitting Ludvig Aberg and Nicolai Hojgaard. Europe's problem is they're likely to be paired with the likes of McIlroy and Rahm as they make their Ryder Cup debut.

Ryder Cup Session Winner Odds

The Ryder Cup comprises of five sessions across three days; two four-ball sessions, two foursomes sessions and then Sunday's singles session.

Traditionally, the USA start Friday and Saturday with foursomes, while Europe start with four-balls, with Seve Ballesteros first instigating the change as captain at Valderrama in 1997, feeling it better suited his players, though Luke Donald has shaken things up this time, starting with foursomes on Friday.

However it's typically where the US have the advantage. In playing your own ball for every shot, it negates the team element somewhat, and in theory, should suit the better players who are usually on the American side.

In fact, you have to go back to 2006 for the last time Europe came out on top across both four-ball sessions. Since then, the cumulative score (ignoring 2010 when sessions were split due to weather) has been 27.5-20.5 in the Americans' favour. 

It will also represent a good chance to get the likes of Ludvig Aberg and Nicolai Hojgaard blooded early, likely playing alongside the likes of Viktor Hovland and Rory McIlroy.

Europe are 6/5 to win the four-ball sessions on either Friday or Saturday, with America 11/10.

The Sunday singles are priced much closer, with Europe 5/4 and USA 20/21. It's often when the Americans have thrived, and if the contest is as close as the betting suggests it will be, both captains will likely top-load their order, so don't be surprised to see Hovland, Rahm and McIlroy facing Scheffler, Cantlay and Schauffele, all of which are essentially toss-ups.

First Out In Singles Odds

In 1995, captain Bernard Gallacher made the peculiar decision to send Seve Ballesteros out first. By 1995, Ballesteros' game was well in decline and he was having a shocker of a week, but Gallacher's theory was that rather than risk one of his better players losing to whoever the USA sent out first, he could sacrifice the first point. 

The strange call paid off - Ballesteros lost 4&3, but Europe won the seession 7.5-4.5, to overturn the 9-7 deficit and win 14.5-13.5.

Since then, however, the best players of both teams are typically sent out early, with perhaps a more experienced head sent out late. Take Rory McIlroy - in six Ryder Cups he's never gone out lower than third on Sunday.

He's 13/8 favourite to go out first once again with Rahm and Hovland 3/1 and 10/3 respectively.

The US have a similar position. Their three best players - right now at least - top the betting at 10/3, 4/1 and 4/1 in the shape of Scheffler, Schuaffele (who lost to McIlroy when going out first in 2021) and Cantlay respectively.

Last Out In Singles Odds

Here's where it gets a little more complicated. Nick Faldo made the much-maligned decision to bottom-load his team in 2008 with Europe trailing. The thinking being that if Europe were to get into a position to win, he wanted his big names at the bottom. Of course, it didn't get that far, and his big names couldn't influence Sunday. 

In 2012, Jose Maria Olazabal knew he needed points on the board early and sent out the big hitters. The so-called weaker players can be sent out in the middle of the pack - or left to the bottom of the order to avoid them influencing the score until as late as possible.

To Hole the Winning Putt Odds

At first glance, this can look like total guesswork, but there is logic to it. The odds suggest we're looking at a razor-thin Ryder Cup, with Europe 11/10 to lead going into Sunday, with the USA 20/21.

Assuming it is close going into Sunday, you can discount anyone going out early from holing the winning putt. Even the US blowouts of 2016 and 2021 were won in the seventh and fifth matches, while the much closer 2010 and 2012 contests were won in the 12th and 11th matches.

With that in mind, it might be worth looking at those shorter in the betting to go out last in singles, such as Wyndham Clark and Robert MacIntyre at 5/1 each, available to hole the winning putt at 22/1 and 33/1 respectively.

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