Wales take on Turkey in Cardiff in their final Euro 2024 qualifier needing to win and hoping Croatia do not beat Armenia to secure an automatic spot at next summer's finals.
Group D leaders Turkey have qualified but, assuming Croatia see off Armenia, will need a point at the Cardiff City Stadium to guarantee a more favourable position in next month's draw.
Where is Wales v Turkey? Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
When is Wales v Turkey? 19:45, Tuesday 21st November
Where can I watch Wales v Turkey? Viaplay Sports 1 & S4C
Turkey have enjoyed a perfect start to life under new coach Vincenzo Montella and can continue their sparkling form under the Italian by breaking Welsh hearts in Cardiff.
It is played three, won three since Montella succeeded Stefan Kuntz in September.
And since two of those wins were 1-0 in Croatia in qualifying and 3-2 in Germany in a friendly, clearly this talented side are not fazed by a potentially awkward road trip and should have few fears heading to Cardiff.
It's not quite a win-or-bust affair for Wales, who are guaranteed a play-off place even if they are to finish third in Group D.
To finish second, Rob Page's men must beat Turkey and hope Croatia fail to beat already-eliminated Armenia in Zagreb. On the flip side they could also finish fourth - lose to Turkey and Armenia produce a shock win in the Croatian capital - though they would still be heading for the play-offs.
All of which pretty much makes it a free hit for the Welsh whereas Turkey are going to have to box clever. They will assume Croatia see off Armenia which means the Crescent-Stars would need a point to secure top spot and a place in pot two of the finals draw. Finish second behind the Croats and they would find themselves in a probably less favourable pot three.
But the Turks can forget any of those scenarios by simply winning in Wales. They looked vibrant in Berlin at the weekend and Montella has plenty of options off the bench.
Wales, in contrast, looked shattered in Yerevan on Saturday night during a dour 1-1 draw against Armenia. It wasn't pretty and without the likes of retired Gareth Bale or injured Aaron Ramsey to call upon they seem short of inspiration.
Being back in Cardiff where they produced that unlikely 2-1 win over Croatia last month ought to give them the lift they crave. But this energetic, talented Turkish side can ruin the party atmosphere.
Wales were flagging by the end of Saturday's draw in Armenia, a thankless trip which will have taken more out of them.
Now they have to go again in Cardiff and don't be surprised to see Rob Page's men wilting once more as the match wears on.
Given the likelihood that one - or maybe even both - teams will be going for goals towards the end, and with mistakes creeping in, take the second half to produce the most goals.
Both goals came in the last 20 minutes of the match in Istanbul in June when Turkey beat Wales 2-0. Indeed, Turkey's last five qualifiers have produced 14 goals, 12 of which arrived in the second period of those fixtures.
Turkey have averaged 5.4 corners per game throughout their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign so cap the Bet Builder by backing the visitors to chalk up over three in Cardiff.
Montella has added some attacking pep to the Turkish side and they won't be sitting back in Wales. Welsh pressure should also offer them opportunities on the counter and it looks a low total to clear.
It should be a straight choice between Tom Lockyer and Ban Cabango for the right to replace the suspended Chris Mepham in Wales' back three.
Brennan Johnson could be handed a start despite offering little off the bench in Yerevan as Rob Page considers a few changes.
Skipper Hakan Calhanoglu has not recovered from the virus which saw him miss the win in Germany.
Midfielder Emre Akbaba has withdrawn from the squad after picking up a knock in Berlin with Abdulkadir Omur set to slot into Montella's midfield three. Eren Elmali and Yusuf Sari, among those who impressed off the bench on Saturday, could start.
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.