Liverpool can qualify for the next stage of the Europa League with a win in Toulouse, who are looking to avenge the 5-1 hiding they suffered at Anfield two weeks ago.
Toulouse - 11/2
Draw - 17/4
Liverpool - 2/5
Liverpool & both teams to score - 7/4
Liverpool are one win away from the next stage of the Europa League and with a bit of luck elsewhere could even be going straight through to the last 16 on Thursday.
Only the group-stage winners head for the last 16 with each runner-up going into a play-off round in December. Liverpool would bank top spot with a win in Toulouse and Union Saint-Gilloise failing to win in Austria against LASK.
And given the demands of Liverpool's schedule, Jurgen Klopp would dearly love to get Europa League qualification wrapped up at the Stadium de Toulouse and treat himself to a couple of dead rubbers on Matchdays Five and Six to round off their Group E programme.
Regardless, the Reds, even allowing for the changes Klopp will inevitably make, will be positive since that is always the Liverpool way.
That manifested itself in a 5-1 drubbing of the French side at Anfield two weeks ago and has ensured the Premier League giants go off at a short price in the return game.
The better bet has to be a Liverpool win and Both Teams To Score at 7/4; reflective of the gulf between the teams and the fact that the English team don't keep many clean sheets.
Liverpool have scored in all 16 fixtures they have played in 2023/24. They have also conceded in 12 of those matches.
Given Klopp's defence won't be at full strength on Thursday and given that Toulouse - who have scored in all but one of their last nine matches - need to be positive to try to ensure European competition in the New Year, expect a high score and goals at both ends.
Liverpool have won 12 of their last 15 - eight of those with the opponent scoring as well - and Toulouse are there for the taking having won just two of their last 13.
Strapping striker Thijs Dallinga has five in his last eight, including in Sunday's miserable 2-1 home loss to Le Havre, and will be a player to look out for in the goalscorer markets here.
Niklas Schmidt to be booked - 15/4
Hard-working midfielder Niklas Schmidt likes to put a tackle in and it would be no surprise to see him find his way into Bulgarian referee Georgi Kabakov's notebook.
The German committed more fouls (3) than anyone else at Anfield two weeks ago but got away with them all.
But he has picked up three yellow cards in his last five matches and will be having to put his foot in once again to repel the inevitable Liverpool tide that will be coming Toulouse's way.
Over 9.5 match corners - 5/6
All the signs are that Toulouse and Liverpool can win 10 corners combined and more in their clash in France.
The French side are averaging 4.3 corners a game in this Group E campaign, Liverpool are averaging 6.3 which means statistically over 9.5 at 5/6 makes a perfectly acceptable bet.
Toulouse managed three at Anfield but have to play with more urgency at home in their quest to make the top two.
They also concede an average of 5.7 corners a match in Ligue 1 while Liverpool win an average of 6.7 corners per game in the Premier League.
Dutch winger Ibrahim Cissoko, who has missed the start of the season through injury following his summer move from NEC, came off the bench for a few minutes against Le Havre at the weekend.
The 20-year-old is set for more pitch time against Liverpool especially in the continued absence of another talented flier, Morocco international Zakaria Aboukhlal.
Klopp is without Andy Robertson, Thiago Alcantara and Stefan Bajcetic. The Reds' boss will ring the changes with the likes of keeper Caoimhin Keller, centre-back Jarell Quansah, midfielder Wataru Endo and forward Ben Doak all in line for starts.
Toulouse wins | 0 |
Draws | 0 |
Liverpool wins | 3 |
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