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Tottenham v Luton: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Tottenham will be expecting nothing less than three points as their top-four quest gathers pace, but lowly Luton have proved time and time again that if they do go down, they go down fighting.

The Hatters may have gone eight games without a win in the Premier League, but they have scored in each of those matches, so will clearly pose a threat at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Tottenham v Luton

Tottenham v Luton betting tips and predictions

Tottenham & Over 3.5 Goals @ 10/11

Tottenham have had two weeks to get over their no-show at Craven Cottage where a 3-0 defeat by Fulham put a dent in their Champions League qualification hopes.

Ange Postecoglou’s men were outclassed and outgunned by the free-flowing Cottagers, but back at the Tottenham Stadium they can respond to that setback by seeing off relegation-threatened Luton.

Odds of 1/5 for the hosts tell you everything and offer little in terms of value, but if Spurs do land the odds then expect them to do so in a flood of goals.

Each of their last 11 Premier League matches and 23 out of 28 overall have produced three goals or more. For Luton, it’s 20 out of 29.

Over 3.5 goals is only a 4/6 chance, but Tottenham & Over 3.5 goals is 10/11 and preferred given the barrage of attacks that are heading the way of Luton, a team who are without a win in nine, a sequence in which they have let in 28 goals.

The Hatters head to North London out of the bottom three courtesy of Nottingham Forest’s points deduction and that has to lift the morale at Kenilworth Road, giving Rob Edwards and his side a genuine hope of survival.

Their run-in, however, is tough, with three of their next four games at Spurs, Arsenal and Manchester City and it’s hard to see them getting anything from Saturday’s shootout.

When the sides met at Luton in October, Spurs scraped a 1-0 win, but they did so despite playing with ten men for a half after Yves Bissouma’s red card and did a very professional job.

At home professionalism often gets replaced by entertainment where they have won ten of 14, while Luton go there with the leakiest away record in the top division having shipped 34 goals in their 14 road trips.

They are also missing a stack of key players including top scorer Eli Adebayo, key central defender Mads Andersen and midfielder Albert Lokonga, who have been joined on the sidelines this week by flier Chiddy Ogbene.

Only Sheffield United concede more shots than Luton, who are too easily cut apart, though they do carry a threat of their own, chiefly from set-plays.

And with Spurs’ attacking contingent of Son Heung-min, James Maddison, Timo Werner, Brennan Johnson and Dejan Kulusevski able to welcome back the fit-again Richarlison into the group, they could chalk up some big numbers.

Alfie Doughty to be booked @ 11/5

Alfie Doughty saves his yellow cards for the better opponents, so don’t be surprised to see the Hatters’ midfielder find his way into Jarred Gillett’s notebook.

Doughty is better known for his assists than his yellow cards, with seven of the former and three of the latter.

But the 24-year-old, cleared to play after a hamstring problem, has saved his cautions for games against Aston Villa, Manchester City and Liverpool, games in which the Hatters have been under the cosh.

They will certainly be under it at Tottenham and the wideman will be taken on mercilessly down his flank by the likes of Kulusevski or Johnson and, of course, the rampaging Pedro Porro.

And Doughty has form. A good boy this term, he picked up 11 yellow cards in the Championship last season where bookings are generally harder to come by, so this season’s figures look somewhat out of character.

Over 3.5 Luton Corners @ 8/11

Only Manchester United’s matches produce more corners than those involving Tottenham, who give up more than they win.

The open manner in which they play means they win an average 6.1 corners per game but concede 6.3.

And Luton, who themselves average 5.7 corners a game, know Tottenham will leave gaps they can exploit. Dead-balls are key for Luton who aren’t a side who sit back, even against the sternest of opponents.

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Tottenham v Luton odds

Tottenham - 1/5
Draw - 7/1
Luton - 10/1

View the full market and more odds for Tottenham v Luton on site

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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