Mark Langdon is backing Fiorentina and West Ham to serve up a goal scoring treat in the Europa Conference League final in Prague on Wednesday evening.
This is only the second season of the Europa Conference League and it is already looking like a quick way for the elite leagues to dominate.
Roma took the honours last season, beating Feyenoord in the final, and Wednesday's showdown in Prague offers West Ham and Fiorentina a golden opportunity to end trophy droughts.
West Ham have not won a major trophy since the 1980 FA Cup and you have to go back to 1965 for their last European success - lifting the now defunct Cup Winners' Cup in 1965. The Hammers are 10/11 to bring the cup back to London, while Fiorentina are 10/11 shots to win their first European trophy since the Cup Winners' Cup in 1961.
|What||Europa Conference League final Fiorentina v West Ham|
|Where||Fortuna Arena, Prague|
|How to watch||BT Sport 1|
|Odds||Fiorentina 9/5, Draw 21/10, West Ham 17/10|
This game looks as close as the odds suggest and it's difficult to find a clear favourite between two teams who have concentrated on cup competitions in recent months.
Fiorentina finished eighth in Serie A, however, they did reach the Coppa Italia final where they lost 2-1 to Champions League finalists Inter Milan, while West Ham will have been hoping for better than 14th in the Premier League before the season started.
This also represents West Ham's toughest test in the Europa Conference League having had a simple enough passage to the final, while Fiorentina's 7-2 aggregate success over Braga is the strongest piece of form.
It might also be worth noting La Viola took points off every team in the top seven in Serie A and those who want to play in the outright market are advised to go for the Italians, but there are better bets elsewhere.
Both teams to score at 5/6 looks the absolute standout pick. Fiorentina have scored in 28 of their last 31 matches and the three blanks included trips to Napoli and Juventus as well as a Coppa Italia semi-final second leg with Cremonese when leading 2-0 from the first match.
Vincenzo Italiano's team always play on the front foot and have plenty of attacking threats with Nicolas Gonzalez and Arthur Cabaral the pick of those. Both teams have scored in their last five European games and that included shipping three to Lech Poznan and two to Basel in home games.
The Hammers have scored in all 14 of their European games this season with the mesmerising Lucas Paqueta bringing his best form to the team since returning from the World Cup.
Finals are notoriously tight and David Moyes would arguably prefer for a cagey contest, but West Ham could get dragged into a gunfight by Fiorentina and one area where both teams excel is in volume of crosses which brings a headed goal into the equation.
Fiorentina are one the crossing masters of Serie A - they slung in 880 this season with only Inter (885) managing more - while West Ham crossed the ball 769 times in the Premier League.
That tally was bettered only by Liverpool and the more crosses produced increases the likelihood of a headed goal.
The Hammers have some huge threats in Tomas Soucek, Kurt Zouma and Nayef Aguerd and will see set-pieces as a primary path to goal.
All of this makes the 11/2 on offer for the first goal to be scored by a header look very appealing.
With both sides playing with width there is another interesting angle and that is to bet on corners.
Fiorentina managed eight themselves in last month's Coppa Italia final loss to Inter and were the top corner takers in Serie A this season with 234.
A quirky statistic was that they also conceded the fewest, hence 4/7 quotes for them in the Corner Match Bet, but better value is to go for both teams to combine for at least 10 at 5/6 with West Ham capable of chipping in.
Spanish referee Carlos del Cerro Grande has dished out 155 yellow cards and 13 reds in 37 games in all competitions this season and that should encourage punters to bet on the player cards markets.
Fiorentina left-back Cristiano Biraghi will have a difficult 90 minutes against Jarrod Bowen and he looks the value call given only Lucas Martinez Quarta has made more tackles for La Viola this season in Serie A. Lucas Martinez is 5/4 and Biraghi is much more attractive at 10/3.
It is probably because Biraghi has been booked only once in Serie A this season, however, he has been cautioned four times in Europe.