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Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig
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Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig: Prediction and Tips

The Wörthersee Stadion in Klagenfurt stages a UEFA Champions League dead rubber between Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig, two of this season's under-achievers.

Austrian league leaders Sturm have three points to their name and RB Leipzig joined them on that tally last week when they finally broke their duck by beating Sporting Lisbon 2-1.

Contents

Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig

Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig Prediction

Prediction

BetSie Supercomputer %

Odds

Odds %

RB Leipzig to win

70.6%

17/20

54.1%

RB Leipzig win 3-1

N/A

12/1

7.7%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

  • Sturm Graz have lost 12 of their last 14 UEFA Champions League ties
  • Both teams have scored in each of RB Leipzig's last eight matches
  • Graz have lost seven of their last nine European matches against German sides

Sturm Graz v RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Tips

Current Odds

RB Leipzig & Over 2.5 Goals

8/5

Willi Orban Over 0.5 Shots on Target

5/2

RB Leipzig Over 5.5 Corners

11/10

RB Leipzig & Over 2.5 Goals - 8/5

RB Leipzig showed they aren't going out of the UEFA Champions League without a fight and they can make it two wins out of two by winning their final game at Sturm Graz.

There is nothing tangible riding on the game at the Wörthersee Stadion in Klagenfurt with both these clubs on three points and eliminated.

But professional pride and decent prize money ought to be enough of an incentive to persuade both of them to try to chalk up a second win of the League phase.

Leipzig are arguably the biggest under-achievers of this season's new-look competition.

The Bundesliga powers arrived in the tournament with pedigree and a world-class squad list, but they have been poor, losing each of their first six matches.

They were dealt a tough hand with their first three games against Atletico Madrid, Juventus and Liverpool but it was the 3-1 loss at Celtic on Matchday Four which all but sealed their fate.

Further defeats at Inter Milan and Aston Villa followed but last week's 2-1 win over a Sporting Lisbon side with much to play for was creditable.

Marco Rose's men followed that up with a 2-2 draw at home to Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Saturday, coming from two down to take a deserved point off the champions.

They will want to take this improvement to Klagenfurt, the temporary home town of Sturm Graz whose own ground failed to meet UEFA requirements.

Sturm had a distinctly easier looking fixture list than Leipzig, opening up against Brest, Club Brugge and Sporting and losing all three.

They then beat Girona 1-0 at 'home' before a 3-2 defeat at Lille was followed by last week's 5-0 batterring at Atalanta.

Sturm's obvious disadvantage was they went to Italy having not played a competitive match since before Christmas with the Austrian Bundesliga - which they head - not back in action until February 7th.

Coach Jurgen Saumel admitted his side were rusty and is hoping they have oiled up a little bit over the past eight days.

Either way, they look slightly behind in terms of match readiness and that has to convince Leipzig that they can do to Sturm what Atalanta did.

Willi Orban Over 0.5 Shots on Target - 5/2

Hungary international Willi Orban is Leipzig's captain, an assured defender and, perhaps less obviously, a fairly regular goalscorer.

The talented Orban, as gifted with the ball at his feet as he is the air, grabbed his fifth goal of yet another relatively prolific campaign for a centre-back in the 3-3 draw with Bochum 10 days ago.

He averages almost a shot a game domestically.

Orban doesn't just sneak goals at club level, either, with six for the Magyars also on his CV.

The 32-year-old is clearly a threat in the opposition box and the 5/2 on offer that he has over 0.5 shots on target looks a decent bet.

RB Leipzig Over 5.5 Corners - 11/10

Last week Sturm Graz lost 5-0 at Atalanta in a match featuring 13 corners with 12 of them won by the Italians.

Leipzig, meanwhile, were beating Sporting Lisbon 2-1, a match featuring nine corners - all of them won by the Portuguese side.

Sturm have won 19 corners over seven games (2.7 per game) while Leipzig have won 33 (4.6 per game).

The Austrians ship plenty, however, so take Leipzig to win over 5.5 corners this time at 11/10.

Supercomputer Predictions

Sturm Graz

11.1%

Draw

18.3%

RB Leipzig

70.6%

The odds suggest that RB Leipzig have a 54.1% chance of beating Sturm Graz on Wednesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 70.6% chance of that happening.

The BetSie Supercomputer believes that Sturm Graz have an 11.1% chance of winning their upcoming game against RB Leipzig.

A 3-1 victory for RB Leipzig has a 7.7% chance of happening according to the betting odds.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Sturm Graz

Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Scherpen; Malic, Aiwu, Wüthrich, Lavalee; Stankovic; Chukwuani, Kiteishvili, Yalcouye; Boving, Camara.

RB Leipzig

Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Gulacsi, Geertruida, Orban, Bitshiabu, Raum; Baumgartner, Seiwald, Haidara, Xavi; Openda, Sesko.

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site

BETSiE is a projection model operated by bettingexpert and owned by Better Collective. The projections quoted are for informational and entertainment purposes only and should not be construed as definitive advice or predictions. The projections and the BETSiE name are the intellectual property of Better Collective. You may not copy, distribute, or modify the Content without prior written permission, except for personal, non-commercial use.By using this model, you acknowledge and accept that its projections are estimates and subject to inherent uncertainties, and the model owner will not be liable for any loss or damage, whether direct or indirect, arising from the use of this information in connection with sports betting or any other activity.

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Check out the bet365 betting hub for all the latest UEFA Champions League betting odds.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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