Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid: Prediction and Tips

Sitting 23rd in the standings and only narrowly in the play-off spots ahead of Matchday Five, Atletico Madrid have not quite made the start in the UEFA Champions League they would have hoped for.

However, they have put together a decent run of results lately and have a great opportunity to pick up three crucial points against an out-of-form Sparta Prague on Tuesday evening.

Contents

Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Supercomputer Prediction

Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds %
Atletico Madrid win	62.8%	13/20	60.6%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• Atletico Madrid have won eight of their last 13 away matches.

• Sparta are winless in four games and have lost their last two in the UEFA Champions League.

• Both teams have scored in five of Atleti’s last eight matches.

Supercomputer Predictions

Sparta Prague	16.4%
Draw	20.8%
Atletico Madrid	62.8%

The odds suggest that Atletico Madrid have a 60.6% chance of winning their upcoming UEFA Champions League fixture away at Slovan Bratislava.

With a 62.8% probability, the BetSie Supercomputer believes Atletico Madrid have a slightly higher chance of winning compared to the betting odds.

Sparta Prague v Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score	13/5
Julian Alvarez anytime goalscorer	21/20
Martin Vitik over 0.5 shots	11/8

Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score - 13/5

A terrible start to the season continued for Sparta on Saturday as they were held to a 1-1 draw in the Czech top-flight by relegation-threatened Teplice, a result which left them 11 points behind the leaders, bitter rivals Slavia. 

Their frustrating draw over the weekend marked their fourth match without a win, a streak which is unlikely to be snapped against an in-form Atletico Madrid. 

The hosts have only beaten second-tier Zbrojovka Brno in their last six games in a run of form which could not be more in contrast to Tuesday’s opponents, who have won each of their last five matches. 

Atleti impressively won 2-1 away at Paris St-Germain in their last UEFA Champions League outing and they are likely to prove too strong for their hosts, who have lost two of their four league phase fixtures. 

Throughout Diego Simeone’s time at Atletico his side have always been far more feared in Madrid than they are when playing away, but they seem to have shaken off that poor-traveller tag of late. 

Simeone’s men have won eight of their last 13 away matches and they should have enough to secure three points against a struggling Sparta. 

However, clean sheets have been uncharacteristically hard to come by for Atleti, with both teams scoring in five of their last eight matches and three of their four UEFA Champions League games this term, suggesting that Sparta may have enough to net on Tuesday, albeit in defeat. 

Julian Alvarez anytime goalscorer - 21/20

Eyebrows were raised when Atletico paid upwards of £70 million for Julian Alvarez, but the move has played out fairly well for the Spanish side so far and pretty badly for his former club Manchester City. 

Alvarez was the only real cover for Erling Haaland at City and, with the Norwegian misfiring of late during the Citizens’ shocking five-match losing streak, they may be regretting letting him leave in the summer. 

The Argentinian has made a decent start in Madrid, scoring a goal every 157 minutes for his new club and he looks a likely candidate to net in Prague given his best performances have come in away games this season. 

Alvarez has scored five of Atleti’s last seven away goals - five of his in total have come on the road - and he could have a strong evening in front of goal against a side who have conceded seven times while losing their last two UEFA Champions League matches. 

Martin Vitik over 0.5 shots - 11/8

Given their woeful run of form, Sparta look set to be under the cosh for large periods on Tuesday, meaning they will need to make the most of any rare attacks they do manage to muster up. 

Set-pieces could provide a route to goal for the hosts and, luckily for Sparta, they have a decent beacon to aim for from such situations. 

Martin Vitik has been a source of goals in the Czech top-flight this term, using his 6'4'' frame to net three times, while he has also been an occasional threat in the UEFA Champions League too, managing two shots in his four European appearances. 

He has also demonstrated his aerial prowess on the international stage too, registering five shots across three Nations League appearances for Czech Republic this season, and he looks a decent price to manage an effort on the visitors' goal. 

Those hunting for an even bigger price may also fancy an audacious punt on Vitik as an anytime goalscorer at 33/1. 

Predicted Starting Line-ups

Sparta Prague

Formation: 3-4-3
Team: Vindahl; Vitik, Panak, Cobbaut; Wiesner, Laci, Kairinen, Rynes; Pesek, Olatunji, Rrahmani.

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-4-2
Team: Oblak; Azpilicueta, Gimenez, Lenglet, Galan; Llorente, De Paul, Barrios, Gallagher; Griezmann, Alvarez.

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