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Roma vs Lazio: Prediction, Tips and Odds

While the Italian Super Cup has taken a chunk out of this weekend’s Serie A schedule, all eyes are on Sunday night’s Derby della Capitale.

Old rivals Roma and Lazio meet with neither side in entirely convincing form. The pair go head to head for the first time since April, having both changed managers over the course of 2024.

Roma remain troubled, stuck in midtable as they desperately look to start moving in the right direction. However, Lazio have put themselves on course for a Champions League place and they need another victory in their chase for a top-four finish. 

Roma v Lazio

Roma vs Lazio betting tips and predictions

Over 6.5 cards - 8/11

If you’ve tuned into recent meetings between these two, then you’ll know this fixture hasn’t provided many goals of late. The pair have scored a combined seven goals across the previous six meetings, but that doesn’t mean their rivalry has cooled.

Those six games have seen the pair rack up an incredible 40 yellow cards, along with six reds. While the high stakes tend to result in cagey clashes, these two sides are usually good for cards when they meet.

Lazio haven’t been on their best behaviour so far this season. They went into the weekend with the third-worst disciplinary record in the division. Things should amp up against bitter rivals Roma, so this is likely to be a busy evening for the referee.

With chances expected to be in short supply, cards are the best way to go here.

Lazio to win - 2/1

While Roma have ‘home’ advantage at their shared stadium, it’s Lazio who are the favoured winners here. The Biancocelesti are the slight underdogs at 2/1, but they’ve been the stronger of the two sides over the course of this campaign.

One big concern for Roma is their record against Italy’s top sides. The Giallorossi have lost all of their encounters with the top five to date, while they’ve been beaten at the Stadio Olimpico by Atalanta, Inter Milan and Bologna. 

Overall, Roma have won just five of their 18 matches this season, losing eight. Meanwhile, Lazio have been an all-or-nothing side this term, winning 11 and losing five of their 18 games. Given their price to win this one and their lack of draws, Lazio hold a lot of appeal to get one over their bitter rivals. 

Gianluca Mancini and Valentin Castellanos to be booked - 7/1

Given that this clash should feature plenty of cards, there are no shortage of options when it comes to the player to be carded market. This is a clash where previous matters, giving us an extra insight that plays into this 7/1 bet builder double.

Roma’s Gianluca Mancini ranks second for fouls made by a Roma player this season. He’s been booked on three occasions as a result, while he is rarely quiet against Lazio. 

Mancini has been booked in each of the previous six meetings between these sides. Across three meetings last season, Mancini was booked in each and he was shown a red card in the dying minutes of their Coppa Italia quarter-final.

Valentin Castellanos doesn’t have the same storied history of appearances against Roma, but the Lazio forward leads his team with 25 fouls in Serie A this term. He’s also been booked on five occasions, while he is yet to finish a Rome derby without being cautioned. He’s two for two in that regard, so pair him with Mancini for a 7/1 booking double. 

Read more football betting tips and predictions on site

Roma vs Lazio odds

Roma - 31/20
Draw -
21/10
Lazio -
2/1

View the full market and more odds for Roma vs Lazio on site

Read Roma vs Lazio how to watch, TV channel, head-to-head stats, team news and more on site

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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