PSV v Shakhtar Donetsk: Prediction and Tips

PSV will be looking to continue their impressive home form when they host Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League in Eindhoven on Wednesday night.

Contents

PSV v Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

Supercomputer Prediction

PSV v Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips

Predicted Starting Line-ups

PSV v Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds%
PSV	63%	2/5	71.4%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• PSV are unbeaten in their last eight home UEFA Champions League matches and have won seven and drawn one of their last eight home games overall

• The Dutch champions have scored at least three goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions

• Shakhtar Donetsk have lost three of their last four away UEFA Champions League games and failed to win five of their last six on the road

Supercomputer Predictions

PSV	63%
Draw	20.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk	16.8%

The odds suggest that PSV have a 71.4% of winning the upcoming UEFA Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.

With a 63% probability, the BetSie Supercomputer believes the Dutch side have a slightly lower chance of winning the match compared to the betting odds.

PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
PSV -1	11/10
Ricardo Pepi to score anytime	5/4
Shakhtar Donetsk to score exactly 1 goal	6/4

PSV -1 Handicap - 11/10

PSV have been in scintillating form in the Eredivisie, scoring goals for fun with an average of almost 3.5 goal per game.

Peter Bosz’s side have also conceded only nine times in their opening 13 league games and those their strength in both penalty areas was on show in their last UEFA Champions League game.

PSV thrashed Girona 4-0 at home to claim their first win of the league phase and it is fair to say they dominated the La Liga side from start to finish.

The Dutch champions rattled off 25 total shots to Girona’s seven and hit the target 12 times, forcing Paulo Gazzaniga to make nine saves, with the visiting goalkeeper also powerless to stop Ladislav Krejci’s 88th-minute own goal.

 That was the first time PSV had won a UEFA Champions League game by more than one goal since a 2023 play-off round thrashing of Rangers, but Bosz’s side are regularly beating domestic opponents with something to spare.

They have covered a -1 handicap in 10 of their 13 Eredivisie games this season. 

Meanwhile, Shakhtar got their first UEFA Champions League win of the campaign on Matchday Four when they beat Young Boys, who remain pointless, 2-1 in Gelsenkirchen.

The Ukrainian outfit had previously lost to Arsenal and Atalanta, with the defeat to the Italians being among one of the more lop-sided losses on Matchday Two.

PSV’s strong home form coupled with Shakhtar’s recent struggles on the road suggest Bosz’s side can run out winners in this clash and they clearly have the capability to embellish the scoreline again.

Ricardo Pepi to score anytime - 5/4

PSV have injury doubts over veteran striker Luuk de Jong and Dutch winger Noa Lang, so the responsibility for scoring their goals could fall upon in-form American star Ricardo Pepi.

A hat trick in PSV’s 5-0 win over Groningen on Saturday means that Pepi has now scored 10 goals in his last six starts for club and country.

He is set to lead the line for only the second time in the UEFA Champions League and for the first time in the competition this season, but the 21-year-old from El Paso looks ready for it.

Pepi hit two UEFA Champions League goals last season despite playing only 179 minutes in the competition, and he can score for a third PSV home game in a row on Wednesday evening.

Shakhtar Donetsk to score exactly 1 goal - 6/4

Bosz’s side like to play attacking football and PSV’s opponents will often get chances themselves if they can play through the Dutch champions' press.

The high-shot counts and shots-on-target tallies from PSV’s UEFA Champions League games this season reveal how open their matches have been.

There have been 11, 9, 11 and 15 shots on target in their four contests, with the average for games in the league phase currently running at 9.61.

Shakhtar have enough quality in their side to score a goal in Eindhoven and it would not be a total shock to see PSV concede exactly one goal.

The Dutch champions have shipped a single goal in three of their last four UEFA Champions League home games, while Shakhtar have scored exactly once in three of their last four away matches in all competitions.

Predicted Starting Line-ups

PSV

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Benitez; Dams, Boscagli, Flamingo, Karsdorp; Tillman, Mauro Junior, Til; Bakayoko, Pepi, Lang.

Shakhtar Donetsk

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Riznyk; Konoplya, Bondar, Matviyenko, Pedrinho; Bondarenko, Kryskiv, Sudakov; Zubkov, Eguinaldo, Kevin.

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