PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool: Prediction and Tips

PSV Eindhoven know avoiding defeat at home to Premier League leaders Liverpool will seal their place in the UEFA Champions League play-offs.

The Reds have already secured their spot in the last-16 after an impressive campaign and could be forgiven for having one eye on the weekend domestic challenge.

Contents

PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool Prediction

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool Betting Tips

Supercomputer Prediction

Predicted Starting Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool Prediction

Prediction	BetSie Supercomputer %	Odds	Odds %
Draw	20.8%	27/10	27.0%
Draw 1-1	N/A	13/2	13.3%

Key Prediction Stats & Insights

• The hosts are looking to extend their unbeaten home record to 16 matches on Wednesday.

• PSV Eindhoven have scored just one goal in their last three home matches against Liverpool.

• All of Liverpool’s last three away goals have been scored in the second half.

PSV Eindhoven v Liverpool Betting Tips

Tip	Current Odds
PSV Eindhoven Double Chance	8/13
Under 3.5 Goals	4/6
Federico Chiesa to score or assist	11/8

PSV Eindhoven Double Chance - 8/13

Many onlookers will have been surprised by PSV’s performances in the new league format, with the Dutch outfit losing just two of their seven matches to date.

Peter Bosz’s men have built on an impressive domestic campaign, with PSV currently top of the Eredivisie and have a four-point cushion over Ajax.

Liverpool have already qualified for the last-16 with a 100% record to date and they head to the Netherlands to face a home side who have lost just two of their seven matches.

The Reds are likely to make a number of changes with a crucial league game at Bournemouth coming up on Saturday, which will give the hosts a chance to seal their place in the middle section of the table.

PSV have won their last two UEFA Champions League home games, scoring seven goals in the process, whilst also holding Borussia Dortmund and Sporting to draws.

The Eredivisie club are unbeaten this season at the PSV Stadion and have a +45 goal difference after 20 matches in their domestic league.

Under 3.5 Goals - 4/6

Although Liverpool have won all three of their European away ties this season, they have scored just one goal in their last two on the road.

A 1-0 success over RB Leipzig in October was followed by the same scoreline in their win at Girona in December.

With Arne Slot likely to be making a raft of changes to his starting line-up, with a tricky looking trip to Bournemouth coming up on Saturday, the Reds might not be as fluid going forward.

Liverpool have conceded just two goals in their seven European fixtures, while PSV have found the net five times in their last six Champions League meetings with English teams.

It’s also worth noting that under 3.5 goals has landed in four of the six previous meetings in Europe between the two clubs.

Federico Chiesa to score or assist - 11/8

It’s fair to say that Federico Chiesa’s Liverpool career has been stop-start so far, having moved to Anfield from Juventus last summer.

The Italian wasn’t fully fit when he completed the switch to Merseyside and has also struggled with injury issues over the last five months.

Chiesa has made just one start, which came in the EFL Cup, with another seven appearances coming off the bench.

There was even talk earlier this month of a potential quick return to Serie A during the January transfer window.

The 27-year-old though now looks back to fitness and has impressed when being used in recent weeks, scoring in the 4-0 FA Cup win over Accrington Stanley.

Fitness concerns over Diogo Jota and Curtis Jones could hand Chiesa a first UEFA Champions League start of the season in Eindhoven.

Supercomputer Prediction

PSV	19.0%
Draw	20.8%
Liverpool	60.2%

The odds suggest that Liverpool have a 44.4% chance of beating PSV on Wednesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 60.2% chance of that happening.

The BetSie Supercomputer believes that PSV have a 19.0% chance of winning their upcoming game against Liverpool.

A 1-1 draw has a 13.3% chance of happening according to the betting odds.

Predicted Starting Line-Ups

PSV Eindhoven

Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Benitez; Mauro Junior, Boscagli, Obispo, Ledezma; Veerman, Schouten; Bakayoko, Til, Lang; De Jong.

Liverpool

Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Alisson; Bradley, Quansah, Konate, Tsimikas; Mac Allister, Endo, Szoboszlai; Gakpo, Nunez, Chiesa.

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