PSV Eindhoven will hope to rely on their fantastic home record this season as they try to overturn a 2-1 deficit when they host Juventus in the UEFA Champions League play-offs on Wednesday.
The Dutch champions have lost just once at their PSV Stadion home this season - and that was only on penalties in the domestic Super Cup against Feyenoord after a 4-4 draw in August - winning 15 of their other 19 matches in all competitions in front of their own fans.
Those stats should put the fear into Juve, despite their 2-1 advantage and this looks set to be a tight second leg in the Netherlands with both sides eyeing a last-16 place.
Contents |
PSV Eindhoven v Juventus Prediction
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds% |
Draw | 25% | 27% | |
PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Juventus | N/A | 8.3% |
Key Prediction Stats & Insights
- PSV Eindhoven have not lost a home UEFA Champions League game since August 2022
- PSV have drawn three of their last five games in all competitions
- Juventus beat PSV 3-1 at home in UEFA Champions League Phase opener
PSV Eindhoven v Juventus Betting Tips
Tip | Current Odds |
Draw | |
Over 2.5 goals | |
Randal Kolo Muani - Over 1.5 shots on target |
Draw - 27/10
Juventus edged the first leg thanks to Samuel Mbangula's late winner so they are in the driving seat to make the last 16.
Last week's slender victory was their second success over PSV in this season's competition as Juve kicked off their League Phase campaign with a 3-1 home win back in September.
However, a trip to the PSV Stadion is a daunting task for anyone in Europe and the Eredivisie giants will be determined to try and get back into the tie as soon as possible.
Peter Bosz's side won three of their four home matches in the revamped League Phase, drawing with Sporting Lisbon first up before recording victories over Girona, Shakhtar Donetsk and eventual table-toppers Liverpool as they ended up 14th in the table.
They usually approach every home game with plenty of confidence, but the win they are after in midweek to progress in the tie may evade them as Juventus should be able to pick up a draw.
The Serie A outfit come into the second leg on the back of four straight wins in all competitions, with their most recent outing on Sunday being an impressive 1-0 home success over reigning Italian champions Inter.
It should be a tight but entertaining clash again between two familiar rivals who may end up cancelling each other out on the night, an outcome that would see Juve edge into the next round.
Over 2.5 goals - 4/6
Considering both of their meetings this season have ended with at least three goals being scored, there appears to be a decent chance of over 2.5 goals on Wednesday.
PSV will have to go on the offensive early on to try and get back on level terms in the tie overall but that will then provide Juve with opportunities on the break.
Last week's tie saw PSV managing more attempts than Juve (14 compared to 12) but the hosts carved out the better quality chances overall, racking up seven shots on target while PSV only had two.
Three of Juve's last four games have featured over 2.5 goals, while PSV's recent games have largely been goal-laden affairs with 11 of their last 13 matches ending with at least three goals being scored.
Randal Kolo Muani - Over 1.5 shots on target - 12/5
Randal Kolo Muani has scored five goals in as many games since joining Juventus on loan from Paris Saint-Germain so the visitors will hope he is the man that can inspire them in the final third in the second leg.
The France international has had at least one shot on target in all of his appearances so far for the Italian side and even though he failed to get on the scoresheet in the first leg, he was lively up front.
The 26-year-old managed two shots on target in Sunday's 1-0 win over Inter and looks decent value at 12/5 to repeat that feat against PSV.
PSV Eindhoven v Juventus Head to Head
Previous Meetings | 2 |
PSV Eindhoven Wins | 0 |
Juventus Wins | 2 |
Draws | 0 |
First Game | Juventus 3-1 PSV Eindhoven (September 2024) |
Last Game | Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven (February 2025) |
Juventus and PSV had not faced each other until this season's UEFA Champions League and it is Juve who have won both of the meetings.
They won 3-1 at home in their first game in the League Phase in September when Kenan Yildiz, Weston McKennie and Nicolas Gonzalez scored before Ismael Saibari netted a late consolation for PSV.
Last week's first leg also went the way of the Turin giants with Weston McKennie and Samuel Mbangula on target for the hosts, while Ivan Perisic scored for PSV.
Supercomputer Prediction
PSV Eindhoven | 37.7% |
Draw | 25% |
Juventus | 37.3% |
The odds suggest PSV Eindhoven have a 43.5% chance of beating Juventus, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 37.7% chance of this outcome.
The BetSie computer rates Juventus' chances of winning the match at 37.3%.
According to the betting odds, a 2-2 draw has an 8.3% chance of happening.
Predicted Starting Line-ups
PSV Eindhoven
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Benitez; Ledezma, Flamingo, Obispo, Mauro Junior; Veerman, Til, Schouten; Perisic, De Jong, Lang.
Juventus
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Team: Di Gregorio; Weah, Gatti, Veiga, Cambiaso; Locatelli, Koopmeiners; Gonzalez, McKennie, Yıldız; Kolo Muani.
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