Paris Saint-Germain built a solid platform to progress to the last-16 of the UEFA Champions League when they beat Brest 3-0 in Guingamp last week.
Luis Enrique’s men will now try to finish the job in front of their own fans on Wednesday night without incurring any injuries or suspensions that could throw them off course later in the competition.
Contents |
Paris Saint-Germain v Brest Prediction
Prediction | BetSie Supercomputer % | Odds | Odds% |
PSG to win | 82% | 2/11 | 84.6% |
PSG 3-2 Brest | N/A | 22/1 | 4.3% |
Key Prediction Stats & Insights
- Both teams have scored in six of PSG’s last seven home games.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings of the clubs.
- PSG have won 18 of the last 19 meetings of these clubs.
Paris Saint-Germain v Brest Betting Tips
Tip | Current Odds |
PSG to win and both teams to score | |
Over 3.5 cards | |
Ousmane Dembele first team goalscorer |
PSG to win and both teams to score - 6/4
This clash will be a fine balancing act for Paris Saint-Germain, who must guard against complacency after effectively ending the tie as a contest last Tuesday.
The Parisians’ victory was their 18th in the last 19 meetings of the clubs and all but secured their place in the last-16.
Although it was plain sailing against the Pirates by the end, Brest were twice denied a goal of their own by the woodwork.
Eric Roy’s side will throw everything at PSG in the return leg, but the hosts’ superior quality and squad depth will probably see them win again.
Both teams have scored in six of PSG’s last seven home games and also in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings of the clubs, so that looks like being a worthwhile addition to any home win bet.
Over 3.5 cards - 6/5
Michael Oliver takes charge of the match at Parc des Princes and the English referee has been at the centre of some controversial decisions lately.
He sent off two players in Wolves’ recent 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal with the straight red card for Gunners’ defender Miles Lewis-Skelly later rescinded.
And he took charge of last week’s Merseyside derby that descended into chaos after Everton’s disputed equaliser deep in stoppage time.
Oliver hands out a lot of yellow cards, averaging 4.59 per game in the UEFA Champions League, well above the average of 4.07 and the Ligue 1 average of 3.53.
He will hope for a less contentious match from these two French sides that currently lie first and fifth in the Ligue 1 Fair Play table.
PSG are averaging just under one and a half cards per UEFA Champions League match while Brest have collected 19 yellow cards in their nine matches to date.
And, although the tie looks to be gone for the visitors, there is pride at stake that could take the card total above 3.5 on Wednesday.
Ousmane Dembele first team goalscorer - 2/1
Dembele has been deadly in front of goal this season and had a couple of chances to score his second hat-trick against Brest in the space of a few weeks.
He finished with a brace, having earlier seen a goalbound shot blocked by an opponent’s arm that led to PSG’s opener from the penalty spot.
Dembele has scored 15 goals in his last 10 games for PSG and seven in three previous clashes with Brest this season.
It is worth noting that he has scored PSG’s first goal in nine of the last 13 games where he has hit the back of the net - indicating he is perhaps better value in the first team goalscorer market than the anytime or last team goalscorer equivalents.
Paris Saint-Germain v Brest Head to Head
Previous Meetings | 21 |
Paris Saint-Germain Wins | 19 |
Brest Wins | 0 |
Draws | 2 |
First Game | PSG 3-1 Brest (December 2010) |
Last Game | Brest 0-3 PSG (February 2025) |
Paris Saint-Germain have dominated previous meetings between the two sides, winning the last four matches.
Brest have only ever collected two draws against their illustrious opponents, with a 2-2 share in January 2024 going alongside the same scoreline in April 2011.
Supercomputer Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain | 82.0% |
Draw | 12.2% |
Brest | 5.9% |
The odds suggest that Paris Saint-Germain have an 84.6% chance of beating Brest on Wednesday night, while the BetSie Supercomputer believes there is a 82% chance of this outcome occurring.
The BetSie Supercomputer believes Brest have a 5.9% of defeating the Ligue 1 leaders.
According to the betting odds, a 3-2 victory for the French champions has a 4.3% chance of happening.
Predicted Starting Line-ups
Paris Saint-Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; Joao Neves, Vitinha, Doue; Kvaratskhelia, Dembele, Barcola.
Brest
Formation: 4-3-3
Team: Bizot; Lala, Chardonnet, Ndiaye, Haidara; Camara, Lees-Melou, Magnetti; Faivre, Ajorque, Mama Balde.
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Check out the bet365 betting hub for all the latest UEFA Champions League betting odds.
This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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