Netherlands v Hungary: Prediction, Tips and Odds

Germany have already booked their place in the Nations League quarter-finals but only one of the Netherlands or Hungary can join them from Group A3.

It is therefore a case of winner-takes-all when the Dutch welcome the Magyars to Amsterdam on Saturday in what should be an intriguing encounter.

Both nations are on five points, meaning a win would secure second spot at the expense of the other, while the Netherlands would likely progress in the event of a draw given the head-to-head record would be equal and they would have the better goal difference, although both teams would still have one game to play.

Netherlands v Hungary betting tips and predictions

Under 2.5 goals - 27/20

The obvious place to start with this match may not be with the result but rather the goals market.

There is a lot at stake at the Johan Cruyff Arena and a cagey affair could unfold as a result.

The score was 1-1 when these teams met in the October international break and under 2.5 goals also clicked in the Netherlands' subsequent match with Germany, who beat them 1-0.

With Xavi Simons set to miss this contest, the Dutch are lacking one of their star creative threats and they could be frustrated by a stubborn Hungary side.

Under 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in five of Hungary's last six matches - the exception in that run was a 5-0 defeat to Germany in September - and that could be the best choice for this contest.

Draw or Hungary double chance - 2/1

Punters looking for a result bet should perhaps side with Hungary to avoid defeat at 2/1.

The Magyars head into this contest unbeaten in three, taking four points from two games with Bosnia and drawing with the Dutch in between.

Attila Fiola might be suspended but Hungary otherwise have a fully fit side to deploy and they have been known to serve up shock results in this competition in the past.

Hungary defeated Germany and England on the road in the previous edition of the Nations League and they are worth backing in the double chance market against the inconsistent Netherlands.

The Dutch have leaked two goals in each of their last two home fixtures in the competition and they will be without a handful of defenders such as Micky van de Ven, Nathan Ake, Lutsharei Geertruida and Ian Maatsen.

A low-scoring contest is expected but those factors do suggest the Dutch could be vulnerable to the odd Hungary counter-attack and the hosts should be opposed in the betting.

Over 4.5 cards - 6/5

The Netherlands and Hungary have two of the better disciplinary records in this season's Nations League, having picked up only 11 yellow cards between them in the competition.

For that reason, under 4.5 cards is priced at 8/13 but punters could find value in backing over 4.5 cards at 6/5.

These sides generally know how to keep cool but their meeting in October produced two yellow cards and a sending off for Virgil van Dijk.

The stakes will be even higher when they reconvene in Amsterdam and players could be forced into cynical fouls to see their team over the line, so do not be surprised if the card count rises.

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Netherlands v Hungary odds

Netherlands - 4/11
Draw - 15/4
Hungary - 8/1

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.